When it comes to JJ McCarthy the growing pains have been on display virtually every start. It’s caused a severe market dip in props associated around him and the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Addison in three out of his last four games has failed to surpass 35 yards, and his high during that stretch is 48. As great as the Packers defense is, there is some give on the perimeter. Take Addison to have enough to surpass his yardage prop.

The once-vaunted Packers offense is fading. Green Bay recently scored 20 combined points in back-to-back games, then fell shy of 300 yards against the league's worst defense (New York Giants) last Sunday. Nor can they count on RB Josh Jacobs, out with an injury. The Packers have covered just once in six meetings wth sub-.500 opponents. Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy has been erratic, and it's high time for him to live up to his reputation.

The Packers have a hyper conservative slow offense that runs at one of the highest rates in the league this year. Pair that with a Vikings defense that profiles as a significant run funnel and it’s fair to wonder how much passing volume this game will feature. That could spell bad news for Romeo Doubs who has mostly served as Jordan Loves top target in a move volume passing offense that loves spreading the ball around and utilizing numerous pass catchers. This is big line for Doubs and I think we’re unlikely to see an uptick in passing volume in this game.

Not even the QB whisperer Kevin O’Connell has been able to coax good play out of J.J. McCarthy, granted it’s been a small sample size but he does not look good, at all. McCarthy ranks dead last in EPA, he has been historically bad. Now he faces a GB defense that might not be the titan they appeared to be early in the season, but they are good in coverage paired with a very good pass rush, in addition to being a run funnel. GB also plays slow and hyper conservative and are not afraid to play in a competitive low scoring gamescript, and at this point I expect Minnesota to be very run heavy and hide McCarthy as much as possible.

The Packers suffered a number of injuries Sunday and may not have Josh Jacobs, but I expect they won't need him for this game. That's because I don't expect J.J. McCarthy to have any success on the road against a defense that's top five in yards per play allowed. The Vikings QB could not take advantage of a plus matchup against the Bears, completing half his passes and throwing two picks in a loss. He's been far worse than Carson Wentz in this offense, and considering the Packers' excellent home-field advantage, I'd have no problem laying six with Wentz at QB. I'm out on the Vikings as a respectable offense until further notice.