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Sun, Sep 298:05 pm UTCLevi's Stadium
78 F
New England
Patriots
NE
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-13
ATS7-9
O/U11-6-0
FINAL SCORE
13
-
30
San Francisco
49ers
SF
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-11
ATS5-12
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
4-13
Win /Loss
6-11
7-9
Spread
5-12
11-6-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NE @ SF
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MONEYLINE
NE @ SF
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OVER / UNDER
NE @ SF
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33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over92%
PUBLIC
Under8%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadSan Francisco -10.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+331
10-6 in Last 16 NFL Picks
Josh's Analysis:

Offensive weapons Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are expected to return from injury ahead of schedule Sunday. This is a just a bonus in a get-right spot for the 49ers, who have suffered consecutive losses. The Patriots were competitive early but this team has such a limited offensive ceiling with Jacoby Brissett under center that it's difficult to envision them keeping pace with the 49ers for four quarters.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 3:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rushing + Receiving YardsDemario Douglas Over 34.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1464
40-22 in Last 62 NFL Player Props Picks
Sia's Analysis:

The Patriots made it a point to get Demario Douglas involved last week as he finally started to get some work to the tune of 7 receptions for 69 yards. They even gave him a carry in the backfield in an effort to showcase him. I don't necessarily expect that type of work this week for Douglas, but in a trailing game script he should be among the primary targets.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 1:18 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadNew England +10 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2007
61-37-3 in Last 101 NFL ATS Picks
+496
17-11 in Last 28 NE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Double-digit spreads are rare this early in the season. It should never apply to an injury-wracked favorite that has fallen twice in a row, the latter against an opponent in worse health than itself. The 49ers have been shorn of main offensive threats Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. QB Brock Purdy is effective with a full complement but cannot carry the load -- and he is dealing with a sore back. What's worse, San Fran's defense is permitting the third most yards per snap and second most conversions on third down. The Patriots are not nearly as awful as projected in the preseason, having won their opener and dropping their second outing in overtime. The line should be well into single figures.

Pick Made: Sep 24, 11:55 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

New England Patriots
Thursday, Feb 12, 2026
Avatar
OT
Will Campbell
Knee - MCLQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Yasir Durant
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Deneric Prince
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
DL
Eric Gregory
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Isaiah Iton
HipQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Lan Larison
FootQuestionable
San Francisco 49ers
Thursday, Feb 12, 2026
Avatar
TE
George Kittle
AchillesQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Jake Tonges
FootQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Ji'Ayir Brown
HamstringQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 10, 2026
Avatar
DE
Keion White
AnkleQuestionable
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