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Sun, Sep 298:05 pm UTCLevi's Stadium
78 F
New England
Patriots
NE
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-13
ATS7-9
O/U11-6-0
FINAL SCORE
13
-
30
San Francisco
49ers
SF
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-11
ATS5-12
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
4-13
Win /Loss
6-11
7-9
Spread
5-12
11-6-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NE @ SF
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MONEYLINE
NE @ SF
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OVER / UNDER
NE @ SF
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33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over92%
PUBLIC
Under8%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadSan Francisco -10.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+331
10-6 in Last 16 NFL Picks
+43
5-4 in Last 9 NE ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

Offensive weapons Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are expected to return from injury ahead of schedule Sunday. This is a just a bonus in a get-right spot for the 49ers, who have suffered consecutive losses. The Patriots were competitive early but this team has such a limited offensive ceiling with Jacoby Brissett under center that it's difficult to envision them keeping pace with the 49ers for four quarters.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 3:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rushing + Receiving YardsDemario Douglas Over 34.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1464
40-22 in Last 62 NFL Player Props Picks
Sia's Analysis:

The Patriots made it a point to get Demario Douglas involved last week as he finally started to get some work to the tune of 7 receptions for 69 yards. They even gave him a carry in the backfield in an effort to showcase him. I don't necessarily expect that type of work this week for Douglas, but in a trailing game script he should be among the primary targets.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 1:18 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadNew England +10 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2007
61-37-3 in Last 101 NFL ATS Picks
+396
16-11 in Last 27 NE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Double-digit spreads are rare this early in the season. It should never apply to an injury-wracked favorite that has fallen twice in a row, the latter against an opponent in worse health than itself. The 49ers have been shorn of main offensive threats Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. QB Brock Purdy is effective with a full complement but cannot carry the load -- and he is dealing with a sore back. What's worse, San Fran's defense is permitting the third most yards per snap and second most conversions on third down. The Patriots are not nearly as awful as projected in the preseason, having won their opener and dropping their second outing in overtime. The line should be well into single figures.

Pick Made: Sep 24, 11:55 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

New England Patriots
Wednesday, Jan 14, 2026
Avatar
OT
Morgan Moses
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Hunter Henry
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Harold Landry
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Anfernee Jennings
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Thayer Munford
KneeQuestionable
Monday, Jan 12, 2026
Avatar
DT
Khyiris Tonga
FootQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Christian Gonzalez
ConcussionQuestionable
Friday, Jan 09, 2026
Avatar
WR
Kayshon Boutte
Hamstring
Thursday, Jan 08, 2026
Avatar
C
Garrett Bradbury
Illness
Avatar
OT
Vederian Lowe
Illness
Monday, Jan 05, 2026
Avatar
OG
Jared Wilson
Concussion
San Francisco 49ers
Tuesday, Jan 13, 2026
Avatar
OT
Trent Williams
Hamstring
Avatar
DE
Keion White
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Yetur Gross-Matos
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Dominick Puni
AnkleQuestionable
Monday, Jan 12, 2026
Avatar
LB
Luke Gifford
QuadricepsQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Dee Winters
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Ricky Pearsall
Knee - PCLQuestionable
Sunday, Jan 11, 2026
Avatar
SAF
Ji'Ayir Brown
HamstringQuestionable
Friday, Jan 09, 2026
Avatar
CB
Renardo Green
Ankle
Wednesday, Jan 07, 2026
Avatar
DT
Jordan Elliott
Knee
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