The Commanders have given up 28-plus points in five straight weeks, all losses, which should give hope to a moribund Jets attack. But the biggest factor in this bet is Washington's offensive line, which was already depleted and now will be without starting center Tyler Larsen and starting left tackle Charles Leno. Sam Howell leads the NFL with 15 interceptions and has been sacked a league-high 59 times. Look for the Jets' defense to make a few big plays in a low-scoring win.

The Jets have the vastly better defense and are at home. Can't really say too much positive about Trevor Siemian. The Commanders players are well aware they are playing for a coaching staff that will not be around in 2024, and it's their final road game. Seems like Sleepwalk City on a holiday weekend. Washington is also down two starting offensive linemen and its leading rusher.

Breece Hall has had a very tough stretch as he hasn't come close to surpassing this rush total in 6 weeks. That is a staggering indictment of this run game and this team as a whole, but Breece Hall now gets a Washington defense that truly can't stop any facet of any offense. Hall is projected for 12.5 carries today and that will require him to obtain 4 Yards Per Carry. Looking at box scores, that may seem like a stretch, but again this is a very advantageous matchup. Hall finally breaks out of his terrrible slump and lands north of 60 yards rushing today.

Again, another quarterback trying to prove he cares by running. Sam Howell has gone over this line in five of his last six games. Our Sportsline model projects 21 yards for the quarterback.

The Commanders offense had new life with Jacoby Brissett at QB, yet they're going back to Sam Howell for this game. I don't expect him to lead many scoring drives on the road against one of the league's best defenses. And if Zach Wilson is unable to clear concussion protocol, I don't believe the Jets will be capable of putting up enough points to essentially singlehandedly push this over. The Jets have scored multiple offensive TDs in just two of their 13 games this year, so projecting them into the high 20s against anyone is tough. The only thing we'll need to fade is a surprise Aaron Rodgers return, but barring that, this is going under.