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    Fri, Nov 248:00 pm UTCMetLife Stadium
    39 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-8-0
    FINAL SCORE
    34
    -
    13
    New York
    Jets
    NYJ
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-10
    ATS6-10
    O/U7-10-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    11-6
    Win /Loss
    7-10
    10-7
    Spread
    6-10
    9-8-0
    Over / Under
    7-10-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    OLB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    LB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    QB
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    WR
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    MIA @ NYJ
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    MIA @ NYJ
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    MIA @ NYJ
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    73%
    PUBLIC
    27%
    MONEY
    85%
    PUBLIC
    15%
    MONEY
    Over36%
    PUBLIC
    Under64%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTyler Conklin Over 23.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    Josh's Analysis:

    Conklin is the Jets' second-leading receiver this season with 381 yards on 35 catches. He became a safety net for benched QB Zach Wilson and should serve the same role for new starter Tim Boyle. Conklin had just two catches for 18 yards last week, but in the prior two weeks combine he hauled in all 13 of his targets for 136 yards. With deep passing plays likely difficult to come by Friday, Conklin should get plenty of opportunities to clip this modest number.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 7:22 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 40.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +496
    25-18-2 in Last 45 NFL Picks
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NYJ O/U Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Dolphins have been beaten by the Bills, Eagles, and Chiefs but they didn’t cover the spread against the Raiders in a tough defensive effort last week. Can the Jets do the same? I don’t see them winning and I don’t see a lot of scoring. The Jets defense has been solid, It's the offense that has been awful, but it hasn’t all been Zack Wilson’s fault that resulted in Tim Boyle getting the starting nod today. All the Jets receivers and blockers get credit for not executing and Wilson losing his job but it was Wilson who didn’t lead nor bark at his players. Under is the top play.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 5:23 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTyreek Hill Over 75.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    It doesn't really matter what the matchup is from a secondary standpoint, as Tyreek Hill is constantly schemed in space. As for the matchup itself, it's doubtful that Sauce Gardner will shadow Tyreek. Either way, Tyreek will be the engine for this offense and I expect him to get plenty of YAC against this tough defense. It'll be relatively cold for a Miami team accustomed to warmer weather and the matchup isn't amazing, but that's why we are getting a lower number than normal. I'll take the discount.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 2:06 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMiami -9.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
    +530
    13-7 in Last 20 NYJ ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    Tim Boyle hasn't had more touchdowns than interceptions in his entire football career, both college and pro. Nothing will change in a dramatic fashion for the Jets offense, which will make things very difficult for them trying to keep pace with the Dolphins over the course of four quarters.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 1:44 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDalvin Cook Over 10.5 Total Rushing Yards -109
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    If the Jets are to keep the game close on Friday afternoon, they'll have to run it early and often and attempt to keep Miami's potent offense off the field. I think Breece Hall will get his share of work but Cook should be mixed in as well. The veteran RB has gone over this total in 6 of his last 8 games, with a 10 yard run in each of the last two contest. I think we can hit this bet on three carries, if not less.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 4:22 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing InterceptionsTua Tagovailoa Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions -109
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Dolphins have played five road games; Tua has thrown a pick in all four domestic ones (he did not get picked by the Chiefs in Germany). Miami's slumping offense really struggles most on the road, and he has picks in three of his last four. Tua also has 3 picks in 3 career games against a Jets defense that plays him very tough. Jets have 10 INTs in 10 games this season and while the weather report looks docile it will be chilly by his standards. He has 5 TD to 7 INT in games played under 50 degrees. I think he'll be a little off and under pressure as this offense regresses. Tyreek Hill a little beat up, timing a little off.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 3:09 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Tackles Plus AssistsQuinnen Williams Over 2.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -175
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Jets defensive tackle Quinnen Williams was a first-team All Pro last year. While his sacks have fallen off, he's still playing at a high level and is on pace for a career high in tackles. He's racked up 10 tackles in the past two games. Opponents have been running the ball successfully against the Jets; they allow 137.6 yards per game, third-most. With Miami in the big-favorite role, the Dolphins could go run-heavy in the second half, helping us cash this prop.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 1:41 am UTC
    Point SpreadN.Y. Jets +10 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +742.5
    50-27-2 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
    +274
    6-3 in Last 9 MIA ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    The first Black Friday game is the season for the Jets. If they lose, there's really no point in rushing Aaron Rodgers back because they aren't going to the playoffs. Do I have a ton of faith in Tim Boyle? He honestly can't be worse than Zach Wilson. High temps of 48 degrees are expected and Miami's Tua Tagovailoa is 0-5 in his NFL career when the kickoff temp is less than 50 degrees (5 TD, 7 INT). If I thought this would get to +10.5, I'd wait, but if anything it's starting to dip.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 7:01 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 41.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Will's Analysis:

    This number stinks for a total with one of the highest-scoring teams in the NFL. But think about it: the Jets can't score and even though the Dolphins beat up on bad teams, the Jets are a tough matchup in a weird spot. Sauce Gardner won't completely shut down Tyreek Hill, but he'll definitely want to limit him. And Hill might be limited with his hand injury anyway. It's a weird time for this game in general. And a weird total for this game. The Dolphins won't likely run a bunch of exotic plays with another Jets matchup on deck soon, they'll want to protect everyone on a short week and get out with a win

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 6:05 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 41 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +864
    33-24 in Last 57 NFL Picks
    +671
    26-19 in Last 45 NFL O/U Picks
    +850
    13-5 in Last 18 NYJ O/U Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Jets have made the switch at QB to Tim Boyle, but he didn't show any reason last week to expect this offense to be better moving forward. He's thrown nine picks in 120 career attempts but somehow didn't get sacked in his three starts with Detroit in 2021. He won't have that luxury behind this offensive line, and he's facing an improving defense that's allowed 300 yards to just one opponent in its last six games. A Jets game hasn't gotten into the 40s since Week 5, and with Miami averaging fewer than 19 points in their last four road games and now facing a defense that's fifth in points per drive allowed, I don't think we get to 40 here.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 3:43 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsRaheem Mostert Over 58.5 Total Rushing Yards -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Dolphins come into this game as huge favorites, and could mean more running the ball than usual in the second half. Miami is first in the league in yards per rush thanks in part to electric rookie De'Von Achane, who may not be available for his game. Even if he is, Mostert topped 60 rushing yards in two of Achane's three monster games, and Mostert has been above 60 in 60% of his games this year while averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Even better, the Jets have faced the most rush attempts this year as teams avoid their excellent secondary, and they're one of eight teams to surrender 1,000 rushing yards just to RBs so far. Mostert is in a great spot here.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 3:34 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 40.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2338.5
    59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
    +422
    13-8 in Last 21 NFL O/U Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 MIA O/U Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Miami is an under team now, led by its defense. The offense has bogged down and a run game that averaged 6.5/carry the first 6 weeks is just 3.9/carry since (22nd!). Achane is ailing again, and the last two Miami games didn't crack 35 points. Miami has scored 20 or less in 3 of their last 4 game and is facing a tougher D on Friday (NYJ held MIA to 28 total points in 2 games in '22). Dolphins D is getting sharp and figuring out Vic Fangio's system. NYJ last in NFL with 9 offensive TDs, 4 fewer than any other team. Tim Boyle is going to generate points? Really? I just hope there aren't multiple pick sixes, or it could be 20-13.

    Pick Made: Nov 21, 2:14 am UTC

    Team Injuries

    Miami Dolphins
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Salvon Ahmed
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Zeke Vandenburgh
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OLB
    Bradley Chubb
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Cameron Goode
    KneecapQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jaelan Phillips
    AchillesQuestionable
    New York Jets
    Sunday, May 26, 2024
    Avatar
    QB
    Jordan Travis
    AnkleQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 22, 2024
    Avatar
    QB
    Aaron Rodgers
    AchillesQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Zaire Barnes
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Joe Tippmann
    AnkleQuestionable
    Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Morgan Moses
    PectoralQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Mike Williams
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    OG
    Alijah Vera-Tucker
    AchillesQuestionable