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Sun 01/15 | 6:00 PM UTC | Orchard Park
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Dolphins 9-8, 9-8 ATS
MIA +14-115
MIA +700
Over 44.5-110
Buffalo Bills 14-3, 8-9 ATS
BUF -14-105
BUF -1100
Under 44.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Miami 31 @ Buffalo 34 | 01/15 | 6:00 PM UTC

Mike Gesicki OVER 1.5 Total Receptions -137

WIN

ANALYSIS: With Skylar Thompson under center, I already faded Tyreek Hill's receiving yards. I tend to think very short throws for the seventh-round rookie. Gesicki was targeted six times and had four catches for 46 yards last week with Thompson under center vs. the Jets. No reason that can't happen again.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+204 40-28 IN LAST 68 NFL PICKS
+67 2-1 on NFL Props Picks

Season Splits

9-8, 9-8 ATS
14-3, 8-9 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
9-8
8-8
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
4-5
3-4
43%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
57%
4-3
8-8
50%
When Spread was +12.5 to +15.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -15.5 to -12.5
0%
0-0
1-0
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
60%
3-2
3-4
43%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
60%
3-2
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
62%
5-3
3-2
60%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
50%
7-7
6-6
50%
vs BUF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
100%
2-0
0-2
0%