While I understand the line coming down given Detroit’s rough defense and the potential for a Chicago backdoor cover, let’s not forget the Lions are a far better team at home than on the road – particularly on offense. Detroit is 6-2 ATS at home with its two failures coming by a combined 1 point. Chicago is 2-5 ATS on the road and has lost eight straight outright, including to Detroit where the Bears fell as a home favorite. Jared Goff should be able to air it out against the Bears secondary with the Lions' running backs seeing plenty of success on the ground.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has failed to clear 80 receiving yards in three straight, but this is a blowup spot for him versus a terrible Bears pass defense missing both starting corners. In the Lions' first matchup with Chicago, St. Brown went off for 119 yards. This is a must-win game at home, so I expect a huge outing from Detroit's top weapon. Go Over 88.5 receiving yards at -115.

These teams last played each other six weeks ago, when the Bears were favored by three and lost by a point. Chicago has mostly looked pretty bad since then, but they've also faced three top defenses -- Jets, Eagles, Bills -- in their last four games. The Lions defense is nothing like those, and as we saw last week, the pressure of a playoff race may not be something Detroit is equipped to handle. Look for Justin Fields and the Bears to give their division rival a game once again. Grab the points.

I'm actually upset the Bears are letting Fields play the final two meaningless games when he's dealing with both a shoulder and foot injury. If he suffers something serious here, I will TP the homes of Coach Matt Eberflus and GM Ryan Poles. Because I don't think Fields is healthy, the offensive game plan should limit his running just like it did last week vs. Buffalo when he had only seven carries for 11 yards. Granted, it was major cold and weather won't be a factor at Ford Field. One big hit and I could see Fields being pulled for his own good.

I am almost positive the Lions win this game -- they absolutely have to -- but not almost positive they cover the 5.5 points because their leaky defense could give up some late garbage TD to trim a 10-point lead to 3. As a Bears fan, I want a loss to perhaps lock up the No. 2 pick in the 2023 draft and keep a shot at the No. 1.

After last week's loss to Carolina, the pressure is on the Lions. They’ll face a Bears team that has dropped eight straight but played Detroit tough earlier this season. Chicago had a 24-10 lead before the Lions stormed back in the fourth quarter to post a 31-30 victory. Look for the Bears to play the spoiler and cover on the road.

The Bears have lost eight straight, but there’s something alluring about them. They have covered just twice in those eight games, but they’re never out of it and will most likely get over the total. The Lions won the first meeting 31-30 on Nov. 13. Eight of Chicago's past nine games have gone Over the total, and both teams are 10-5 to the Over. That is the top play in this game.

Detroit still has a chance to make the playoffs, and this is a perfect bounceback spot against the reeling Bears. Chicago has lost eight straight while fielding easily the NFL's worst defense. Only four opening-day defensive starters were on the field to start Chicago's latest loss, 35-13 at home to Buffalo. The Bears also are decimated on the offensive line and at receiver. Look for Jared Goff (20 TDs, 3 INTs at home) to lead Detroit to 30-plus points and a cover.