This total might be at least 10 points higher if weather conditions approached normalcy. But when 20-plus-mph winds are combined with temperatures near single digits, both offenses will be restricted, along with field-goal kickers. The Under has hit on every Buffalo road game, with all but one ending in the 30s or low 40s. Look for more keepers and fewer throws than usual by QBs Josh Allen and Justin Fields, which will keep the clock moving -- provided it isn't frozen.

Cook’s workload has been hit or miss, making this a bit of a risky wager. Despite only receiving five carries last week against the Dolphins, he finished with 34 yards. He has produced at least 29 rushing yards in a game six times this season, four of which have come over the last eight games. The weather forecast for this game is not conducive to throwing the ball, so even if Devin Singletary continues to receive the bulk of the carries for the Bills, Cook could see enough opportunities to reach the over against a Bears team that has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game in the league.

The weather is not looking good for this game. Precipitation shouldn’t be a problem, but it’s going to be cold with significant wind gusts. This is already a favorable matchup for the Bills to run the ball since the Bears have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game in the league. Singletary has received at least 13 carries in five of the last six games, finishing with at least 47 rushing yards four times. A potentially heavy workload against a bad run defense leaves Singletary with a favorable opportunity to hit the over.

I'm a Bears fan and this year has been a success because of Fields -- haha, thanks Jets for taking Zach Wilson!! -- but there's simply no reason at this point for the coaching staff to allow the future of the franchise to keep taking big hits with all these designed runs. It benefits Chicago to lose out and get the No. 2 overall pick so it can take either Alabama linebacker Will Anderson or Georgia defensive tackle Jalen Carter or trade back a few spots with a QB-desperate team. There's always the chance Fields does leave early injured as he's playing through a banged-up shoulder, and it's going to be brutally cold. If Buffalo gets way ahead, which is very possible, the Bears freaking better get Fields out of there.

The Bills have essentially sewn up the division but are in a battle for the No. 1 seed, and they have a massive matchup on deck against the Bengals next week. The Eagles failed to cover in Chicago in a similar spot last week, and Buffalo has won by more than eight points just once since Week 8. The Bills defense struggled to stop the Miami rushing attack, and that's Chicago's bread-and-butter, especially with Khalil Herbert potentially back. The weather will be very cold and windy, which helps to suppress passing offenses, and the low total in a Bears game indicates there shouldn't be a lot of scoring, which makes covering a big number difficult. Great value on Chicago laying eight or more.