Expert Picks
NFL | Jacksonville 14 @ Detroit 40 | 12/04 | 6:00 PM UTC
Detroit PK
WIN
ANALYSIS: The Lions are only 4-7, but they’ve played the toughest schedule in the NFL so far by a mile. All seven of Detroit’s losses were against teams currently above .500, as were two of their wins — they’ve only played two teams all season (Bears, Packers) that don’t currently have a winning record. The Jaguars will be the third, and though Trevor Lawrence has played well the last three weeks, his comeback wins came against teams (Ravens, Raiders) that have been blowing leads all season. Jacksonville has one road win since 2019. Grab the home team.
Season Splits
10-8, 9-9 ATS
8-8, 11-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
36%
4-7
7-4
64%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
17%
1-5
4-2
67%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
4-4
0-1
0%
When Spread was -1 to +2.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -2.5 to +1
50%
1-1
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
20%
1-4
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
33%
1-2
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
0%
0-0
3-3
50%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
33%
3-6
1-1
50%
vs DET
HEAD TO HEAD
vs JAC
0%
0-0
0-0
0%