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Sun 11/27 | 6:00 PM UTC | Landover
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Falcons 6-10, 8-8 ATS
ATL +3.5-110
ATL +158
Over 40-110
Washington Commanders 7-8, 7-8 ATS
WAS -3.5-110
WAS -190
Under 40-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Atlanta 13 @ Washington 19 | 11/27 | 6:00 PM UTC

Washington -4

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Commanders are 4-0-1 ATS with Taylor Heinicke this season, and this is a great matchup. Atlanta won't have Kyle Pitts and figures to try to run the ball even more than its usual 57 percent rate. Washington has an elite rushing defense. (third in efficiency) and just held Dameon Pierce to eight yards on 10 carries. Pierce had ripped his two previous opponents -- Giants, Eagles -- for 233 yards on 44 carries. With Logan Thomas expected to play, Washington should have all its key weapons available. Lay the points.

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Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+440 43-34-3 IN LAST 80 NFL PICKS
+1285 34-19-2 IN LAST 55 ATL ATS PICKS
+1241 21-8-1 IN LAST 30 WAS ATS PICKS
+328 9-5 on Props Picks

Season Splits

6-10, 8-8 ATS
7-8, 7-8 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
64%
7-4
6-4-1
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
3-2
2-2-1
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
75%
6-2
3-2
60%
When Spread was +2 to +5
SPREAD
When Spread was -5 to -2
50%
1-1
2-0
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
75%
3-1
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
67%
2-1
3-1
75%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
67%
2-1
2-1
67%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
56%
5-4
4-4-1
50%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%