Larry's Picks (9 Live)
The Bucs' leading tackler (Tykee Smith) and third-leading tackler (SirVocea Dennis) did not practice Tuesday. That would only help the receiving matchup for Bijan Robinson, who caught six passes for 100 yards in the season opener vs. Tampa Bay. Drake London (who had 15 targets in the opener) is trending toward missing another game, while Kyle Pitts is playing through a knee injury. The Bucs give up an NFL-high 10.4 yards per pass attempt to players lined up in the backfield, per Fantasy Points Data. After not being a factor in the receiving game last week, Robinson should be targeted heavily in this matchup.
Dallas Goedert has drawn just 11 targets over the past three games, with two catches in each. On Monday night he'll face a Chargers team that allows the fourth-fewest targets and catches to opposing tight ends. Even Brock Bowers last week only made four catches vs. LA.
Rashee Rice has been a target hog lately and he has the best matchup among Chiefs’ receivers Sunday night. That’s because he operates a lot out of the slot, where Houston is vulnerable. Look for Patrick Mahomes to rely on Rice against the Texans’ zone-heavy scheme.
Patrick Mahomes has thrown 34 or more passes in six straight games. On Sunday Night Football, the Chiefs’ best chance at offensive success will come via the quick passing game. That’s because their already weak run game is likely to struggle behind a makeshift O-line. Look for at least 35 attempts.
Blake Corum has received at least seven carries in six straight games, clearing this rushing total four times. Last week he erupted for 81 yards at Carolina. With the Rams likely to be in clock-killing run mode late, I bet Corum to run for at least 33 yards.
I bet the high-powered Rams to bounce back from their stunning upset loss at Carolina. Arizona has a bleak injury report and has been blown out by its other two division rivals. LA is at least on the level of Seattle and San Francisco. I would play this at anything less than 10.