Expert Picks
NFL | New England 26 @ Minnesota 33 | 11/25 | 1:20 AM UTC
Minnesota -2.5 -117
WIN
ANALYSIS: We did well last week picking the Patriots and fading the Vikings, and now here we are with those teams meeting and a significant full-point line change coming due to perception of these teams. Minnesota is nowhere near as good as its record indicates, but what it possesses is an offense capable of moving down the field. New England has largely made its bones feasting on inept units. The Vikings have the firepower -- and a quarterback with a live arm -- in a home spot. Fading Kirk Cousins in primetime has been profitable, but I just don't see how the Pats consistently put points on the board given their offensive issues. This is another worthy half-unit wager that could go a full unit should the odds fall to -110 before kickoff.
Season Splits
8-8, 7-8 ATS
13-4, 7-9 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
67%
6-3-1
4-5-1
44%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
75%
3-1-1
2-3
40%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
2-2
3-3-1
50%
When Spread was +1 to +4
SPREAD
When Spread was -4 to -1
33%
1-2
3-1-1
75%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
67%
2-1
2-2
50%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
100%
3-0-1
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
100%
1-0
1-2
33%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
71%
5-2-1
2-5-1
29%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NE
0%
0-0
0-0
0%