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Sun 10/09 | 5:00 PM UTC | Orchard Park
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Pittsburgh Steelers 3-7, 4-5 ATS
PIT +14-110
PIT +600
Over 44.5-110
Buffalo Bills 7-3, 5-5 ATS
BUF -14-110
BUF -900
Under 44.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Pittsburgh 3 @ Buffalo 38 | 10/09 | 5:00 PM UTC

Pittsburgh +14

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Bills are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they’ll be facing a rookie QB making his first NFL start on the road. It’s Kenny Pickett time for the Steelers, who have started the season 1-3 behind the 30th ranked offense and a defense without T.J. Watt. The Bills have a slew of injuries, notably the entire secondary, wide receiver and tight end Dawson Knox. But the biggest reason for siding with Pittsburgh is the point spread. This is a lot of points for an NFL game. I took the points with the Steelers.

author-image

Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS

Season Splits

3-7, 4-5 ATS
7-3, 5-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
33%
1-2-1
2-2
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
1-1
1-0
100%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
1-1-1
2-2
50%
When Spread was +12.5 to +15.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -15.5 to -12.5
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
1-1
1-0
100%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
0%
0-0-1
1-2
33%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-1-1
0-2
0%
vs BUF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
0%
0-0
0-0
0%