The hook is likely to follow this line before kickoff, so get in now if you want the Bengals. After betting on Cooper Rush last season and having it pay off massively, I have to push past that bias and understand the circumstances here. Cincinnati is not going to turn the ball over five times again. Tee Higgins is active to open up the passing game more for Joe Burrow. And the Cowboys are not suddenly going to be more effective offensively without Dak Prescott. Even if this is close in the first half given the Bengals will be playing on the road, they should pull away and win comfortably in the second half.

The Cowboys' offense ranked last in EPA per play in Week 1, and most of that came with Dak Prescott at QB, not Cooper Rush. Tee Higgins (concussion) is expected to play, giving Joe Burrow the weapons he needs to bounce back from a five-turnover debacle. Dallas is really going to miss safety Jayron Kearse (knee) in this matchup.

The hook has disappeared from the line, making Cincinnati more attractive. Though Dallas topped the league in takeaways a year ago, the Bengals surely won’t endure a repeat of the five turnovers from last Sunday, all committed by QB Joe Burrow. If Cowboys QB Dak Prescott was helpless with a receiving group devoid of a real threat, imagine how injury replacement Cooper Rush will fare. Dallas might be held to single-digits on the scoreboard again.