Given Keenan Allen’s injury and the Chiefs’ explosive performance in Week 1, it’s no surprise that this line is going up. That doesn’t change the fact that Kansas City is the right side. Not because of that aforementioned offensive explosion but rather because its defense looked Super Bowl-caliber to open the season. Mix in the fact that Arrowhead Stadium is one of few legitimate homefield advantages left in the NFL (especially on a short week) and Kansas City also has a coaching advantage in the game, the Chiefs should be closer to a touchdown favorite. I’m not worried enough about the injuries to RG Trey Smith or K Harrison Butker to come off KC here. Chiefs are the play anywhere from -3 to -4.

The total inched 1.5 points higher after the Chiefs’ opener generated 65 points. It takes two to tango, however, and the Chargers’ defense was beastly while holding Las Vegas in the teens. Pass rusher supreme Khalil Mack, who introduced himself to L.A., with three sacks, could hassle QB Patrick Mahomes. A potential wrench in the K.C. scoring machine is an injury to kicker Harrison Butker, who is out. The Chargers’ offense will miss ailing KR Keenan Allen.

As strong as the Chiefs' win was against the Cardinals, one can’t discount the consistency of Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert in the division. In his two years the Chargers have been in contention in divisional games, and all non-overtime divisional losses have been by five points or fewer. Additionally, his two losses to the Chiefs both came in overtime. Take the Chargers.

I'm starting to see this tick up at some books because I'm guessing the Keenan Allen injury and bettors starting to hammer the Chiefs so let's just do this now before the moneyline gets over -200. I look forward to my first Amazon Prime NFL game and, you know, buying dog treats for Snoopy while Patrick Mahomes is throwing a TD pass.

It's no wonder this game moved up a half-point from the lookahead number of 3 after the Chiefs obliterated the Cardinals and the Chargers survived with a close win over the Raiders. I'm very much a fan of this Chargers team long-term and believe they could win the division, but the Chiefs offense made an emphatic statement on Sunday that we should consider them a top-two NFL team until someone slows them down. The odds the Chargers can keep up in a shootout get much longer should Keenan Allen (hamstring) get ruled out, something I think will happen. I make this line Chiefs -6 without Allen, so I expect there to be movement if he's unavailable.