The trends in this game point to the Vikings, which not only play well as home underdogs but even have a statistical edge due to the crew officiating the game (yes, really). However, the Rams are in a tight battle for the No. 1 seed and enter as the more efficient team on both ends with a significant advantage on the sideline in the coaching matchup. With one of the worst secondaries in the league, Minnesota should get torn up by Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp. Is the return of Adam Thielen really enough to fix this offense? Will Kirk Cousins even have time against this Rams defensive front? Give me L.A. in a tough spot.

With RB Dalvin Cook out and WR Adam Thielen questionable, the Vikings will be shy at least one of their offensive go-to guys. Much has been made of the Rams’ quick turnaround from a Tuesday game, but Minnesota also has a short week following a Monday nighter on the road. The Rams are hell-bent on reaching the Super Bowl in their building, and they are getting healthy after a rough week with COVID-19. I love L.A.

Minnesota is 20-6-1 ATS in its last 27 as a home dog, and I love getting over a field goal here. Alexander Mattison has proven to be a fine replacement for Dalvin Cook, and Adam Thielen (ankle) appears on track to play. His availability is crucial: It would mean Jalen Ramsey won't be able to focus solely on Justin Jefferson. Although the Rams got their starting right tackle back from the COVID list, they're still missing a few key guys and face a tough travel spot after playing Tuesday night. Grab the points.

Both teams will be playing with short rest, but the Rams are in the tougher spot. LA is 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS after winning three straight since 2018. The Vikings, who have played 11 straight games decided by single digits, are the only team not to drop any game by more than eight points. The Vikings are third in sacks (44) and second in sacks allowed (22). Strong combo. Imagine you're the Rams having to play a night game then travel five days later for a 1 p.m. ET (10 a.m. body clock) game in Week 16. Kirk Cousins does his best work (58.4% ATS) in this time slot. Take the home underdog plus the points.

The Rams are rolling, and back-to-back wins against NFC West rivals have put them into a tie for the division lead. The Vikings also managed a win last week but the offense completely disappeared, posting just 61 net passing yards as the team was outgained 370-193 by the Bears. That type of profile would typically have me shy away from a winning team next week, but this is a terrible spot for the Rams, playing a road 1 p.m. ET game on Sunday after their rescheduled Tuesday win. This is at +3 (-120) now, so jump on it before it tips down to 2.5.