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Sun 12/12 | 9:25 PM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Buffalo Bills 7-5, 6-5 ATS
BUF +3
BUF +145
Over 53
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-3, 6-6 ATS
TB -3
TB -170
Under 53

Expert Picks

Buffalo 27 @ Tampa Bay 33 | 12/12 | 9:25 PM UTC

Tampa Bay -3.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Buccaneers have seen a nice bounce back after a couple rough weeks, but this pick is far more about the Bills and their maddening inconsistency. Buffalo was so badly outcoached against New England last week that it puts into question whether this team can be trusted against top-quality competition. In fact, the Bills are just 1-4 ATS against teams above .500 this season. The Bucs, meanwhile, have covered three straight and are 4-1 ATS at home (5-0 straight up) with their lone failure coming against the Cowboys in Week 1. I never like taking a hook, so wait until closer to kickoff to see if you can get -3, but I'll be on Tampa Bay either way. Rhyme not intended.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+1394 59-41 IN LAST 100 NFL PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS
+580 18-11-2 IN LAST 31 TB ATS PICKS

Season Splits

7-5, 6-5 ATS
9-3, 6-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
6-5-1
6-6
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
67%
4-2
4-1
80%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
1-0
6-6
50%
When Spread was +2 to +5
SPREAD
When Spread was -5 to -2
100%
1-0
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
1-0
4-1
80%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
33%
1-2
0-2
0%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
67%
2-1
1-3
25%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
67%
6-3
4-4
50%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BUF
0%
0-0
0-0
0%