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Tue 11/23 | 1:15 AM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Giants 3-6, 5-4 ATS
NYG +10.5
NYG +400
Over 50
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-3, 3-6 ATS
TB -10.5
TB -550
Under 50

Expert Picks

N.Y. Giants 10 @ Tampa Bay 30 | 11/23 | 1:15 AM UTC

Tampa Bay -11

WIN

ANALYSIS: You won't see me taking many double-digit favorites in this space, but the Bucs deserve some love in this spot. Tampa Bay has been dominant against bad teams at home, and coming off consecutive losses bookending a bye, it badly needs a get-right game. Helping matters is that Tom Brady covers three-quarters of the time coming off losses. The Giants get credit for hanging around, but they almost exclusively do that against bad or mediocre teams. The Bucs are averaging 40.5 points per game at home compared to 23.4 points per game on the road. Unless Tampa Bay is truly cratering, which is certainly possible, this should be a safe enough wager.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+440 10-5 IN LAST 15 NYG ATS PICKS
+680 19-11-2 IN LAST 32 TB ATS PICKS

Season Splits

3-6, 5-4 ATS
6-3, 3-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
5-4
3-6
33%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
75%
3-1
3-1
75%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
62%
5-3
3-6
33%
When Spread was +9.5 to +12.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -12.5 to -9.5
100%
1-0
2-1
67%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
75%
3-1
3-1
75%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
50%
2-2
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
33%
1-2
0-1
0%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-2
1-4
20%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYG
0%
0-0
0-0
0%