Not a good look for the Niners to be 1-5 ATS and coming off four straight losses, but are they as bad as that suggests? Three of those 'L's were by one score (including to the Packers and Cardinals) and the one that wasn't came in a downpour where most of the Colts' points were set up by pass interference penalties. The Bears, meanwhile, are averaging 13.4 ppg with Justin Fields as starter, and now they'll be without Khalil Mack, and with Akiem Hicks questionable. San Francisco should get their second cover here.

The 49ers find themselves in a must-win situation on Sunday against the Bears. San Francisco has been a better team on the road than at home. Furthermore, Chicago has a multitude of issues with its offense and will be without coach Matt Nagy. Take the 49ers to cover and end their losing streak.

Every statistic and trend will tell you not to take the 49ers as a betting favorite and especially on the road. Don't pay attention to them in this spot. San Francisco is in need of a win in the worst way and Chicago is just the team to deliver it to them. The Bears are 5-0 to the Under with Justin Fields as the starting QB meaning they aren't scoring a ton of points and I'm not sure Chicago's covid issues are completely remedied either. Just a gut feeling, give me San Francisco -4.

Every book I can find has the Niners at -3.5 but for Caesars, so let's take the value now because Chicago will be without Pro Bowl pass-rusher Khalil Mack due to injury. Stud defensive tackle Akiem Hicks missed Week 7 and is in major question, too. Pass-rusher Robert Quinn also is iffy on the COVID list. Embattled coach Matt Nagy is on the COVID list as well but that may only help Chicago.

The hooks might not last. Kyle Shanahan is 5-13-1 ATS when laying more than a field goal. The Bears have looked like a competent team at home, beating the Bengals and Lions and nearly covering against the Packers. Khalil Herbert (4.8 yards per carry) will have success against a middle-of-the-pack San Fran rush defense, giving Justin Fields some manageable third downs. Jimmy Garoppolo clearly misses George Kittle, who won't be back Sunday. The 49ers also will be without starting strong safety Jaquiski Tartt, and pass rusher Dee Ford is in the concussion protocol. Grab the points.