The Chargers are coming off back-to-back statement victories over Kansas City and Las Vegas. The common-opponent victory over the Chiefs (Cleveland lost to Kansas City) is an ATS factor. Furthermore, the Browns are on the road for the second straight week. Look for Cleveland to win this game in the trenches as it utilizes a heavy ground attack with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.

Both teams are 3-1 straight up and ATS, and the Chargers have stayed Under in all four games. The Browns, who average a league-best 177.0 rushing yards per game, might be fine just handing the ball off to their stud running backs. The Chargers are the fourth-worst team against the run, allowing 139.5 rushing yards per game. The Browns defense will be the toughest and most physical defense Justin Herbert has faced. Also, Cleveland has covered its last four as a road underdog. Browns get the cover.

The Chargers defense has been fantastic this year, ranking in the top 10 in points allowed per drive despite having to face offenses ranging from solid (Washington, Vegas) to great (Dallas, KC). Now they'll be up against a Browns offense that scored just 14 points against the Vikings as Baker Mayfield battles a partially torn labrum. The Browns defense has been excellent as well, ranking top five in both net yards per pass attempt and net yards per rush. The Browns offense may be able to have success against the Chargers on the ground, but this one still sets up for another low-scoring game for both these teams.