The Titans’ reputation as all-offense, no-defense team does not apply here. Injured WRs Julio Jones and A.J. Brown are out, stripping QB Ryan Tannehill of his main targets. The Jets, ranked 10th in pass defense, can focus on containing RB Derrick Henry. New York’s offense is awful, with rookie QB Zach Wilson showing far more interceptions (seven) than TD passes (two). The weak ground attack has yet to bail him out. Jets home games have gone Under in 11 of the past 17.

With the Titans' injury issues at receiver, their offense ceiling in this game drops considerably. And while the Jets' putrid start to the season on offense may be a product of the teams they've had to face, Zach Wilson still needs to prove he can put points on the board in bunches. Even if the Jets offense is more effective in this game, it likely won't explode while leaning on Corey Davis, a finally healthy Jamison Crowder and maybe Braxton Berrios in the passing attack. I think this could be a Derrick Henry vs. Michael Carter slugfest, with the running games keeping the clock moving and reducing the amount of possessions available to put this one over the total.

Just one team since 2003 has scored fewer points through three games than the 2021 Jets: the 2019 Dolphins. But despite the inability to score, they haven't been historically awful -- for example, they're just the third-worst offense in terms of yard per play this year. And the Jets defense has actually performed pretty well, especially considering the holes the offense has put them in. That defense now goes up against a Tennessee offense down its top two receivers, and likely to feed Derrick Henry early and often. I trust Robert Saleh to have a plan to limit Henry's production, and Zach Wilson may finally be able to have a solid game against what's largely been an awful defense. The Jets could win this one outright.

AJ Brown and Julio Jones have been ruled out by the Titans, which means LOTS of Derrick Henry. Look, I either think the Jets pull the upset or get blown out (thus why not take the +6.5) ... because they are the Jets. Almost no in between. Also don't think they are going 0-17 and that any wins will come at home (or in London). So, in John Bollman-MLB style, I'm gonna roll the dice on the outright upset at a sweet ML price. Feels almost like a trap game anyways for Tennessee. Gang Green has been pretty good against the run. This could be a way to gain ground in confidence pool leagues -- backing the Jets.

The Titans are dealing with numerous injuries and it looks like star WRs AJ Brown and Julio Jones will be out. Even if those two play, it won't be at a high level. New York will able to focus on stopping Derrick Henry. The Jets are coming off a humiliating shutout loss in Denver, but returning home is the key handicap. The Jets have a sneaky good defense against the run, ranking No. 13, while the Titans are ranked No. 24 at Football Outsiders. Tennessee also is only ranked three spots higher in overall team efficiency. The Jets should be able to run the ball on this overrated Titans defense. That will open up some nice play-action completions for Zach Wilson.

The Jets are terrible on both sides of the ball. They rank last in scoring and have coughed up the second-most turnovers in the NFL. Titans running back Derrick Henry is going to have a field day against this defense. Look for Tennessee to win by double digits.

At some point, the Jets offense will start to figure things out. Unfortunately for them, they continue to run into teams that do a great job of applying pressure. That alone will keep a sputtering offense sputtering. I don't foresee the Jets covering here based off that fact. Also Tennessee running back Derrick Henry gets stronger as the game goes on. I'm taking the Titans.