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    Fri, Sep 1012:20 am UTCRaymond James Stadium
    82 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Dallas
    Cowboys
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L12-5
    ATS13-4
    O/U8-9-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Tampa Bay
    Buccaneers
    TB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L13-4
    ATS9-8
    O/U9-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    12-5
    Win /Loss
    13-4
    13-4
    Spread
    9-8
    8-9-0
    Over / Under
    9-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    OT
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    WR
    Key Injuries
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    LB
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    DB
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    DT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DAL @ TB
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    MONEYLINE
    DAL @ TB
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    OVER / UNDER
    DAL @ TB
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadDallas +9 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1049
    61-46 in Last 107 NFL ATS Picks
    +920
    27-16 in Last 43 DAL ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The public has loaded up on the Bucs, blowing this spread up significantly to the largest number of any game in Week 1. That's likely reaction to the defending champions returning all their starters and the Cowboys entering the game without Zack Martin. However, Dallas is a different team with Dak Prescott starting, and Ezekiel Elliott is a far more effective rusher with him as the signal caller. The Cowboys also brought in Dan Quinn, who was at the helm of the Seahawks' terrific defenses not too long ago. Getting nearly two scores with an offense that has so many explosive playmakers makes for an attractive play. See if you can get +9.5 or even +10 before kickoff.

    Pick Made: Sep 09, 11:51 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 51.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +370
    7-3 in Last 10 NFL O/U Picks
    +310
    13-9 in Last 22 DAL O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Tampa Bay’s scoring binge late in its Super Bowl run and the return of QB Dak Prescott for Dallas have generated a total of more than a half-hundred. This figure is 3.5 points higher than any other Cowboys-Bucs game. Prescott, though, has not played in 11 months and will suffer from the absence of All-Pro guard Zack Martin (COVID-19). Once the Bucs got rolling in Week 6 last season, they yielded just 20.6 ppg the rest of the way. The Cowboys have gone Under in all but one of their last five openers. New coordinator Dan Quinn has the chops to repair a dreadful defense.

    Pick Made: Sep 09, 4:55 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOVER 51.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +120
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL Picks
    +200
    3-1 in Last 4 DAL O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    My simulations (53.4) agree with the SportsLine simulations (56) on the Over 51.5 between two of the top 5 teams in terms of pace of play. The loss of Zack Martin likely means the Cowboys are going to give up the idea of establishing the run against this Tampa Bay defense. The exaggerated number of throwing plays should help the pace of play and preserve the game clock enough to see a potential shootout if Dallas is remotely close to form before Dak's injury. I'm going to trust the computers (and Tom Brady returning every starter) with the Over play to start the season in Tampa.

    Pick Made: Sep 09, 3:32 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDallas +8.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1076
    22-10 in Last 32 NFL ATS Picks
    +238
    8-5 in Last 13 DAL ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    I would obviously feel much better about this pick if Zack Martin were playing, but the Cowboys All-Pro guard has been officially ruled out. Still believe that Dallas offense has more talent than Tampa Bay does, and the Cowboys defense should be improved with an upgrade at coordinator (Dan Quinn) and selecting stud linebacker Micah Parsons in the first round of the draft. FiveThirtyEight's QB-adjusted Elo forecast has the Bucs at -7, and I do tend to think they only win by a touchdown so we'll take the 8.5. For what it's worth, Tom Brady has failed to cover eight straight prime-time games (see news feed). He's also under .500 ATS in Week 1 games. Also like the Under.

    Pick Made: Sep 09, 1:47 pm UTC
    Point SpreadTampa Bay -8 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +409
    25-19 in Last 44 NFL Picks
    +359
    29-23 in Last 52 NFL ATS Picks
    +908
    46-33-4 in Last 83 TB ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    I initially thought this line was where it should be based on my power ratings but was giving the edge to the Bucs with defending champs going 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Week 1 games. I had hoped good Dak Prescott news would move the line down to Bucs -7 and give us an even bigger edge, but it's instead ticked the other way after Zack Martin was ruled out due to a positive COVID-19 test. Consider that a preview of the unpredictable nature of the 2021 NFL season, where sudden, unexpected player absences will wreak havoc on line movement expectations. I'm still laying it with the Bucs and think they win by 10-plus here.

    Pick Made: Sep 07, 1:56 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDallas +7.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +335
    11-7 in Last 18 NFL ATS Picks
    +650
    11-4-1 in Last 16 TB ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Buccaneers ride an eight-game winning streak and they’ve got almost everyone back from their Super Bowl-winning team. The Cowboys have lots of variables that make them exciting for this opening spot, beginning with Dak Prescott and the offensive line being healthy. There also is speed from the receivers and a trimmer, seemingly more focused Ezekiel Elliott. But I believe the defense will be vastly improved after allowing a franchise record for most points scored in 2020. Take the points with the Cowboys.

    Pick Made: Aug 25, 7:38 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Dallas Cowboys
    Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Josh Ball
    HipQuestionable
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    TE
    Peyton Hendershot
    AnkleQuestionable
    Thursday, May 23, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Luke Schoonmaker
    HamstringQuestionable
    Tuesday, May 21, 2024
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    WR
    David Durden
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
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    DT
    Mazi Smith
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
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    CB
    Trevon Diggs
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
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    TE
    John Stephens, Jr.
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
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    LB
    DeMarvion Overshown
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Thursday, Jun 20, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Anthony Nelson
    ElbowQuestionable
    Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
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    DB
    Jamel Dean
    BackQuestionable
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    DT
    Mike Greene
    CalfQuestionable
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    CB
    Tavierre Thomas
    HamstringQuestionable
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    SAF
    Kaevon Merriweather
    AnkleQuestionable