I totally understand why this number has dropped big time as Cleveland basically will be starting me at wide receiver due to COVID issues and also is thin on the offensive line due to injury. But the Browns still have Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt and, frankly, any motivation the Jets had was lost last week in the win over the Rams to avoid 0-16. I think under a TD is good value here.

Baker Mayfield has confronted numerous hurdles in his career, but nothing like this. Only one WR on the roster was left standing Saturday as four were placed on the COVID-19 inactive list. Two were promoted from the practice squad, but that leaves Cleveland's QB with almost no trusted targets. LB Jacob Phillips joined the four WRs on the COVID-19 list. Mayfield is 2-6 ATS as a starter when the Browns are road favorites, and they are on a 3-13 slide away from home. Little needs to be said about their opponent, although the one-win Jets surely will play with vigor after stunning the Rams last week.

The Jets placed defensive lineman Quinnen Williams on injured reserve with a neck injury, which gives them no shot of slowing Cleveland's vaunted run game. They're also down to their third-string slot corner, which means Jarvis Landry won't be stopped. So you can expect an offensive eruption from the the Browns. New York has scored 23 or more in four of its last six games, and will do enough to help get this Over.