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    Sun, Dec 066:00 pm UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium
    51 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    New Orleans
    Saints
    NO
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L12-4
    ATS9-7
    O/U10-6-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Atlanta
    Falcons
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-12
    ATS7-9
    O/U7-9-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    12-4
    Win /Loss
    4-12
    9-7
    Spread
    7-9
    10-6-0
    Over / Under
    7-9-0
    Key Injuries
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    TE
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    WR
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    OT
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    CB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadNew Orleans -2.5 -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +735
    35-25 in Last 60 NO ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    With this down below the key number, I'm backing the Saints defense. Just like last year, New Orleans is not getting credit for its quality of play without Drew Brees. Last year, it was Teddy Bridgewater. Now, it's Taysom Hill. You know what hasn't changed? Sean Payton. As an Alvin Kamara fantasy manager and frequent Saints bettor, I have my own issues with Payton's obsession with Hill, but that's just the offense. New Orleans' defense has held opponents to 28 combined points in the last four games -- all covers. The Falcons are being overvalued after last week's domination, plus the return of Julio Jones. There's not a great history with division opponents playing twice in three weeks with the same favorite covering both times, but the situation is right here.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 4:28 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 46.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +430
    12-7-2 in Last 21 NFL O/U Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 ATL O/U Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    The Saints' defense ranks second in DVOA and yards allowed per play at just 5.1. QB Taysom Hill is becoming a bigger dropoff from Drew Brees than we first thought, as his best assets are his legs. The Saints have gone Under in four straight games. Atlanta has played far better defensively since Raheem Morris took over as interim coach, with the Under hitting in four of its last five games. New Orleans posted a 24-9 home victory over Atlanta just two weeks ago.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 3:38 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAtlanta +2.5 +100
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +280
    25-20-2 in Last 47 NFL Picks
    +237
    10-7-1 in Last 18 NO ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Were the Falcons missing RB Todd Gurley and WR Julio Jones, they could raise a white flag of surrender. But the tandem that fuels Atlanta’s offense is expected to answer the bell after healing up. If it seems as though the Saints just beat Atlanta, well, they did - two weeks ago. Sweeping a division rival in such a short time frame is challenging, particularly when the winner of the first meeting deploys a backup QB. Taysom Hill has delivered two straight-up victories in place of Drew Brees but has yet to throw a TD pass and accounted for only 78 aerial yards last week. The Falcons, now familiarized with Hill, can similarly contain him.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 3:25 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAtlanta +3 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1495
    82-60-5 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +1160
    60-43-5 in Last 108 NFL ATS Picks
    +920
    17-8-1 in Last 26 NO ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    This is a great revenge spot for the Falcons after the Saints completely shut down their offense in the first meeting. It looks like Julio Jones is trending toward playing, which is a big deal after he only managed to see the field on 35 percent of the offensive snaps in the last game against the Saints. I think a Falcons defense that ranks sixth in DVOA against the run can do a better job against the Saints offense this time around and force Taysom Hill to beat them with his arm, which I'm not sure he's capable of doing. Take the full field goal while you can get it.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 10:29 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 46 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1495
    82-60-5 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +530
    13-7 in Last 20 NFL O/U Picks
    +211
    12-9-1 in Last 22 ATL O/U Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    This total is too high for these teams in their current states. The Saints defense has been awesome over the last month even when they've had to face a team with a quarterback, allowing just seven points per game in their last four matchups. The Falcons defense has also made strides since Raheem Morris took over, and it's not like Taysom Hill has looked great in his first extended action as starter. The Falcons defense is sixth in DVOA against the run, which should help limit what the Saints can do with the ball. If Julio Jones (questionable), Atlanta has a great shot at getting a revenge win here, but either way I expect this game goes Under.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 10:02 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAtlanta +3 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +35
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +343
    4-1-1 in Last 6 NO ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    There's probably zero chance this gets to Falcons +3.5 (we recommend buying up to that number), so we'll jump now in case it drops to +2.5. Atlanta should be 5-1 (is 4-2) since interim coach Raheem Morris took over, and yes that one loss was ugly in New Orleans a couple of weeks ago. However, I'm taking Matt Ryan at home over Taysom Hill (yet to throw a TD pass) all day, especially with Julio Jones and Todd Gurley expected back for Atlanta after both missed last week injured. On the flip side, top New Orleans pass rusher Marcus Davenport likely is out with a concussion. The Falcons are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 5:51 pm UTC

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    Team Injuries

    New Orleans Saints
    Friday, Dec 08, 2023
    Avatar
    QB
    Derek Carr
    RibsQuestionable
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    K
    Blake Grupe
    GroinQuestionable
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    OG
    Nick Saldiveri
    ShoulderQuestionable
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    DE
    Isaiah Foskey
    QuadricepsOut
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    RB
    Kendre Miller
    AnkleOut
    Thursday, Dec 07, 2023
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    WR
    Chris Olave
    IllnessQuestionable
    Wednesday, Dec 06, 2023
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    DE
    Cameron Jordan
    AnkleQuestionable
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    TE
    Juwan Johnson
    QuadricepsQuestionable
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    QB
    Taysom Hill
    FootQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 04, 2023
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    WR
    Rashid Shaheed
    ThighQuestionable
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    LB
    Pete Werner
    ObliqueQuestionable
    Atlanta Falcons
    Saturday, Dec 09, 2023
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    WR
    Mack Hollins
    AnkleQuestionable
    Friday, Dec 08, 2023
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    OT
    Kaleb McGary
    Knee - MCLOut
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    CB
    Mike Hughes
    HandQuestionable
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    DT
    David Onyemata
    AnkleOut
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    LB
    Nate Landman
    KneeOut
    Wednesday, Dec 06, 2023
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    CB
    Jeff Okudah
    AnkleQuestionable
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    C
    Drew Dalman
    AnkleQuestionable
    Sunday, Dec 03, 2023
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    CB
    A.J. Terrell
    ConcussionQuestionable