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    Sun, Dec 066:00 pm UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium
    51 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    New Orleans
    Saints
    NO
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L12-4
    ATS9-7
    O/U10-6-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Atlanta
    Falcons
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-12
    ATS7-9
    O/U7-9-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    12-4
    Win /Loss
    4-12
    9-7
    Spread
    7-9
    10-6-0
    Over / Under
    7-9-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    DE
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    OG
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    WR
    Key Injuries
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    QB
    Avatar
    DT
    Avatar
    LB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    NO @ ATL
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    MONEYLINE
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    OVER / UNDER
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadNew Orleans -2.5 -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +825
    37-26 in Last 63 NO ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    With this down below the key number, I'm backing the Saints defense. Just like last year, New Orleans is not getting credit for its quality of play without Drew Brees. Last year, it was Teddy Bridgewater. Now, it's Taysom Hill. You know what hasn't changed? Sean Payton. As an Alvin Kamara fantasy manager and frequent Saints bettor, I have my own issues with Payton's obsession with Hill, but that's just the offense. New Orleans' defense has held opponents to 28 combined points in the last four games -- all covers. The Falcons are being overvalued after last week's domination, plus the return of Julio Jones. There's not a great history with division opponents playing twice in three weeks with the same favorite covering both times, but the situation is right here.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 4:28 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 46.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +430
    12-7-2 in Last 21 NFL O/U Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 ATL O/U Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    The Saints' defense ranks second in DVOA and yards allowed per play at just 5.1. QB Taysom Hill is becoming a bigger dropoff from Drew Brees than we first thought, as his best assets are his legs. The Saints have gone Under in four straight games. Atlanta has played far better defensively since Raheem Morris took over as interim coach, with the Under hitting in four of its last five games. New Orleans posted a 24-9 home victory over Atlanta just two weeks ago.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 3:38 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadAtlanta +2.5 +100
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +280
    25-20-2 in Last 47 NFL Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Were the Falcons missing RB Todd Gurley and WR Julio Jones, they could raise a white flag of surrender. But the tandem that fuels Atlanta’s offense is expected to answer the bell after healing up. If it seems as though the Saints just beat Atlanta, well, they did - two weeks ago. Sweeping a division rival in such a short time frame is challenging, particularly when the winner of the first meeting deploys a backup QB. Taysom Hill has delivered two straight-up victories in place of Drew Brees but has yet to throw a TD pass and accounted for only 78 aerial yards last week. The Falcons, now familiarized with Hill, can similarly contain him.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 3:25 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadAtlanta +3 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1495
    82-60-5 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +1160
    60-43-5 in Last 108 NFL ATS Picks
    +695
    18-11-1 in Last 30 NO ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    This is a great revenge spot for the Falcons after the Saints completely shut down their offense in the first meeting. It looks like Julio Jones is trending toward playing, which is a big deal after he only managed to see the field on 35 percent of the offensive snaps in the last game against the Saints. I think a Falcons defense that ranks sixth in DVOA against the run can do a better job against the Saints offense this time around and force Taysom Hill to beat them with his arm, which I'm not sure he's capable of doing. Take the full field goal while you can get it.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 10:29 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 46 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1495
    82-60-5 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +530
    13-7 in Last 20 NFL O/U Picks
    +301
    14-10-1 in Last 25 ATL O/U Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    This total is too high for these teams in their current states. The Saints defense has been awesome over the last month even when they've had to face a team with a quarterback, allowing just seven points per game in their last four matchups. The Falcons defense has also made strides since Raheem Morris took over, and it's not like Taysom Hill has looked great in his first extended action as starter. The Falcons defense is sixth in DVOA against the run, which should help limit what the Saints can do with the ball. If Julio Jones (questionable), Atlanta has a great shot at getting a revenge win here, but either way I expect this game goes Under.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 10:02 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadAtlanta +3 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +35
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +343
    4-1-1 in Last 6 NO ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    There's probably zero chance this gets to Falcons +3.5 (we recommend buying up to that number), so we'll jump now in case it drops to +2.5. Atlanta should be 5-1 (is 4-2) since interim coach Raheem Morris took over, and yes that one loss was ugly in New Orleans a couple of weeks ago. However, I'm taking Matt Ryan at home over Taysom Hill (yet to throw a TD pass) all day, especially with Julio Jones and Todd Gurley expected back for Atlanta after both missed last week injured. On the flip side, top New Orleans pass rusher Marcus Davenport likely is out with a concussion. The Falcons are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 5:51 pm UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    New Orleans Saints
    Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Chris Olave
    ShoulderOut
    Thursday, Jul 04, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Nick Saldiveri
    GroinQuestionable
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Cameron Jordan
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Kool-Aid McKinstry
    FootQuestionable
    Atlanta Falcons
    Monday, Jul 08, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Zach Harrison
    KneeQuestionable
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    QB
    Kirk Cousins
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Grady Jarrett
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Kaden Elliss
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Kentavius Street
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Drew Dalman
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Josh Ali
    AnkleQuestionable