loading...
nfl - Sun 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC | TIAA Bank Field |

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
PIT -10.5
-9.5
Over / Under
47.5
46
ML
PIT -550
-450

Matchup breakdown

Pittsburgh
JAC
PROJ SCORE
10-0
W-L
1-9
8-2
ATS W-L
4-6
6-3
O/U
5-5
12.4
PT DIFF
-9.6
get access topicks for every gameAll picks - $9.99 monthly

Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Thu 11/19

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

UNDER 46

WIN

Mike Tomlin gets notoriously conservative against lesser opponents on the road -- why put Big Ben at risk? This should hold true Sunday, especially with the Ravens on deck four days later. Look for the Under to improve to 41-13-1 in Pittsburgh's last 55 road games.

+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 NFL O/U PICKS
+390 5-1 IN LAST 6 PIT O/U PICKS

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Wed 11/18

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Jacksonville +10

LOSS

The Jaguars have covered two straight with Jake Luton at quarterback. James Robinson has rushed for 99 yards in three straight games and will get a monster workload here to try to slow down the Steelers' pass rush. Since losing linebacker Devin Bush, the Steelers are giving up 4.9 yards per carry. Moreover, Pittsburgh could be caught looking ahead to its Thanksgiving rematch with Baltimore. On the road against lesser, non-division opponents, Mike Tomlin and Ben Roethlisberger tend to get wins, not blowouts. See Week 9 at Dallas. Grab the points.

+30 5-4 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS
+255 8-5 IN LAST 13 PIT ATS PICKS
+205 13-10-1 IN LAST 24 JAC ATS PICKS

Mike Tierney

Top Dog
Wed 11/18

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Jacksonville +10

LOSS

The Jags started five rookies against Green Bay and deployed seven more. Yet, for the second consecutive Sunday, they nearly pulled off a straight-up win, even with the anonymous Jake Luton at QB. The curve for week-to-week improvement is substantial. They run the ball effectively and could expose some vulnerability for Pittsburgh. Though NFL squads customarily do not look ahead, be aware that Baltimore awaits the Steelers next week.

+739 17-9 IN LAST 26 JAC ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS

Emory Hunt

The Czar of the Playbook
Thu 11/19

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Pittsburgh -10

WIN

Pittsburgh had a scare against Dallas but then went out and thoroughly dominated Cincinnati from start to finish. Look for the Steelers to have a similar approach against a Jaguars team that is a bit one-dimensional in its approach. Facing a top-five defense, Jaguars rookie QB Jake Luton is in store for a long, tough day.

+90 4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS
+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 PIT ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 JAC ATS PICKS

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
Sun 11/22

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Jacksonville +10.5

LOSS

We took the Jags plus nearly two TDs last week in Green Bay (cashed) and will ride them again getting more than 10 -- frankly, I will always take a home dog getting double digits even with no/few fans in attendance. Also believe the Steelers might be looking ahead to a Thanksgiving Night showdown with bitter rival Baltimore.

+535 12-6-1 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 JAC ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS

Bill Marzano

Veteran Handicapper
Sun 11/22

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Pittsburgh -10.5

WIN

This is a lot of points to lay on the road in an NFL game, but I think Pittsburgh will take care of business. The Steelers are 24-5 against rookie QBs and did a great job versus the Bengals and Joe Burrow last week. They are one of the better defensive teams in the NFL and put a lot of pressure on QBs, forcing bad decisions and turnovers. The Steelers are putting up over 30 points per game and QB Ben Roethlisberger has 22 TD passes and just four interceptions. He now faces a Jacksonville team that is 30th against the pass and 31st in scoring defense. This one could get ugly.

+70 4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 JAC ATS PICKS
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 PIT ATS PICKS

SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
Sat 11/21

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

UNDER 46

WIN

The Jaguars have averaged 37.78 passes per game. They also have committed an average of 1.3 turnovers per game, which is pretty good for a team that is 1-8. These two stats activate a very nice Steelers Over/Under indicator: The Under is 25-0 when Pittsburgh visits a team that averages more than 34.65 passes per game and less than 2.2 turnovers a game. Meanwhile the Under also is 16-0 when the Jags are playing on grass coming off a road loss and are facing a team that has forced at least 1.75 turnovers per game. (Pittsburgh forces 1.89 per game.) We make the Under the play.

+400 6-2 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS

Pittsburgh

player
QBBenRoethlisberger
21.46fan duel$8,000
23.2draft kings$6,700
25.51cbs sports
player
RBJamesConner
13.5fan duel$7,000
15.66draft kings$6,600
12.3cbs sports
player
RBBennySnell
3.28fan duel$4,900
3.44draft kings$4,000
3.21cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
B. RoethlisbergerBen Roethlisberger27/382942.300.550.0325.5
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
J. ConnerJames Conner14.9650.664.40.1712.3
B. SnellBenny Snell5.2200.223.80.093.2
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. Smith-SchusterJuJu Smith-Schuster6.0660.4710.90.069.4
D. JohnsonDiontae Johnson5.2620.4911.90.159.2
C. ClaypoolChase Claypool4.1600.6114.60.1311.4
E. EbronEric Ebron4.2460.4611.00.107.4
J. WashingtonJames Washington2.6350.3013.40.035.3
J. ConnerJames Conner2.4170.057.20.1712.3
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
P. DSTPIT DST4.541.000.961.92.23.1

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Devin Bush, Zach Gentry
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Jacksonville

player
QBJakeLuton
13.08fan duel$6,500
13.71draft kings$5,000
14.28cbs sports
player
RBJamesRobinson
13.1fan duel$7,200
15.38draft kings$6,400
12.05cbs sports
player
RBDevineOzigbo
2.91fan duel$4,600
3.47draft kings$4,000
2.41cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
J. LutonJake Luton20/342191.101.000.1914.3
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
J. RobinsonJames Robinson20.2740.433.70.2212.1
D. OzigboDevine Ozigbo2.8100.063.60.042.4
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
D. CharkD.J. Chark4.7650.3313.70.058.5
K. ColeKeelan Cole3.4460.2713.40.056.2
C. ConleyChris Conley2.7350.1212.80.034.2
T. EifertTyler Eifert2.1220.1010.20.022.7
J. RobinsonJames Robinson2.1180.108.50.2212.1
C. JohnsonCollin Johnson0.8110.0513.40.011.4
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
J. DSTJAC DST1.320.560.701.11.31.5

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Chris Thompson, Dede Westbrook, CJ Henderson, Ryquell Armstead, Josh Allen, Daniel Thomas, D.J. Hayden, Josh Oliver, Josh Jones, Rashaan Melvin, Leon Jacobs, Al Woods, Lerentee McCray, Dontavius Russell, Josh Lambo, Bruce Miller
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/22/2020 16:49 GMT