It's not easy for the Giants to score under normal conditions, and now they'll face the NFL's top defense in the cold (upper 30s) and wind (10-14 mph) of northern New Jersey. The Bucs can score, but will they be looking to keep their foot on the gas on a short week before facing the Saints? The Giants have had the third most Under results this season (5 out of 7 games). Look for that to become 6 of 8.

The Giants had major offensive line issues before losing starting guard Will Hernandez to the reserve/COVID-19 list. Now they're facing the league's No. 1 defense, one that has a fierce pass rush, loves to blitz, and completely shuts down the run. Daniel Jones' penchant for turnovers should prove decisive here. Lay it.

Extensive road travel in consecutive weeks has not deterred the Buccaneers from being heavy favorites against the Giants. In 2019, QB Daniel Jones' first NFL start was a success in an outright victory at Tampa Bay. However, the talent around him has diminished immensely, as has his play. Grab the Buccaneers to roll and extend their winning streak to an NFC-best five games.

There isn’t any social distancing on Tampa Bay’s overcrowded bandwagon. The spread has climbed 2.5 points as the public seems eager to coronate the Bucs as a Super Bowl team. Maybe so, but the Giants have covered in three of the past four outings and missed another by one point. Having last played two Thursdays ago, they enter refreshed from a near-bye week. While one virus-infected OL has been scratched, his colleagues on the line are cleared to play. Take New York.

Tampa Bay has looked like one of the best teams in the NFC so far this season. On both sides of the ball, everything is starting to come together and the Bucs have been able to overcome injuries. The Giants are coming off of another close loss, that was a very winnable game. At some. point those types of losses start to wear on a young team, and this is the worst type of game, and opponent, to play after that type of loss.

This is a lot of points to lay on the road, but I think we should do it. For starters, my power ratings have this line three points higher -- the gap between these teams isn't that much smaller than the one between the Chiefs and Jets. The Giants offense is 30th in DVOA and 31st in points per drive; how do they score on a D that is first in DVOA by a mile and second in points per drive? The Bucs have scored 28-plus in four of their last five games, with the Bears as the only defense to slow them down at all. The Giants defense is solid, but it isn't on the level of the Bears. Expect a 27-13 type of game.