loading...
nfl - Sun 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC | MetLife Stadium |

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
BUF -9.5
-13
Over / Under
46.5
47
ML
BUF -430
-700

Matchup breakdown

Buffalo
N.Y. Jets
PROJ SCORE
8-3
W-L
0-11
6-5
ATS W-L
3-8
7-3
O/U
5-6
1.5
PT DIFF
-15.5
get access topicks for every gameAll picks - $9.99 monthly

Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Mon 10/19

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -11

LOSS

The Jets aren't firing Adam Gase now, which means we can expect another lifeless performance. The Bills are on a short week, traveling, and facing an inflated spread, and none of it should matter. Buffalo won the first meeting 27-17 but it wasn't that close. Lay it.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+460 8-3 IN LAST 11 NYJ ATS PICKS
+174 15-12-3 IN LAST 30 BUF ATS PICKS

Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
Sun 10/25

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -10

LOSS

The Jets are a train wreck that just gave up on Le'Veon Bell, which signals to me that they're giving up on the season. Meanwhile the Bills are a playoff-caliber team in the AFC. My model says Buffalo covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.

+505 14-8-2 IN LAST 24 NFL PICKS
+165 4-2 IN LAST 6 NYJ ATS PICKS
+85 2-1 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS

Emory Hunt

The Czar of the Playbook
Tue 10/20

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -12.5

LOSS

It's been a really rough year for the Jets. We've reached the part of the season where we're starting to see dissent amongst the coaching staff, and some of the players are starting to publicly voice their frustration. I don't foresee things changing for the better with this team, and they face one of the best in the AFC this week in Buffalo. This is not a good matchup for New York.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+580 8-2 IN LAST 10 NYJ ATS PICKS
+185 4-2 IN LAST 6 BUF ATS PICKS

Brett Anderson

The Dog Whisperer
Sun 10/25

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -10

LOSS

No team can keep failing to cover the spread every week, right? Eventually the Jets will cover one, but with the Bills not being in a position to look past anyone after back-to-back losses and the line falling a full three points with Sam Darnold's return, I don't think it'll be here. Darnold is an upgrade over Joe Flacco, but he won't have his top WR in Jamison Crowder, and there just isn't much talent for Darnold to turn to. Lay the 10.

+380 6-2 IN LAST 8 NYJ ATS PICKS

Hank Goldberg

Hammer
Wed 10/21

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -13

LOSS

Playing against the Jets is a gift. I can't believe Adam Gase hasn't been fired yet. Players are jumping ship right and left. Buffalo has issues with its linebacking corps, but the Jets don't have a running back to exploit that. Josh Allen, coming off two losses, will put up huge numbers here.

+195 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+628 13-6-2 IN LAST 21 BUF ATS PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 NYJ ATS PICKS

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
Fri 10/23

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

N.Y. Jets +12

WIN

Yes, the Jets might be historically bad. However, Sam Darnold is expected back at QB (he's not great but team is 0-8 all-time without him) and Gang Green might have all three of its top receivers on the field for the first time in 2020. Plus, how is this not a trap/letdown game for Buffalo off back-to-back huge ones vs. Tennessee and Kansas City, on a short week and with another big one Week 8 vs. New England? Josh Allen has not looked sharp of late. I love home dogs at more than +10.5, even without fans.

+295 14-10-1 IN LAST 25 NFL ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NYJ ATS PICKS

Bill Marzano

Veteran Handicapper
Fri 10/23

Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets | 10/25 | 5:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -12

LOSS

The Jets continue to play horrible football. They are 0-6 straight up and ATS. New York is going to get killed by Buffalo, which has dropped two straight after a 4-0 start. The Jets are the lowest-scoring team in the NFL, averaging just over 12 points per game. They are also last in passing yards per game. Defensively, New York is just as bad, allowing just over 30 points per game. The Bills need to win this game with the Patriots on deck, and they can't afford to look past the Jets here.

+285 5-2 IN LAST 7 NYJ ATS PICKS

Buffalo

player
QBJoshAllen
25.21fan duel$8,800
26.77draft kings$7,700
28.71cbs sports
player
RBDevinSingletary
10.05fan duel$6,200
11.97draft kings$5,800
8.85cbs sports
player
RBZackMoss
7.38fan duel$5,400
8.21draft kings$4,200
6.91cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
J. AllenJosh Allen24/362772.200.900.3128.7
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. SingletaryDevin Singletary12.4550.254.40.158.9
Z. MossZack Moss9.9400.294.00.126.9
J. AllenJosh Allen5.5280.575.10.3128.7
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
S. DiggsStefon Diggs6.7940.5714.00.0713.1
C. BeasleyCole Beasley5.4660.4012.30.069.0
G. DavisGabriel Davis2.7400.3014.80.045.8
I. McKenzieIsaiah McKenzie2.4210.178.90.044.0
T. KroftTyler Kroft2.2200.539.00.025.2
D. SingletaryDevin Singletary2.4180.047.70.158.9
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
B. DSTBUF DST2.711.080.721.61.92.9

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

John Brown, Dawson Knox, Lee Smith, T.J. Yeldon, Josh Norman, Tommy Sweeney, Levi Wallace, Tyrel Dodson, E.J. Gaines, Star Lotulelei, Harrison Phillips, Jake Fromm, Del`Shawn Phillips, Isaiah Hodgins
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

N.Y. Jets

player
QBSamDarnold
12.97fan duel$6,700
13.39draft kings$5,000
13.83cbs sports
player
RBFrankGore
6.02fan duel$5,100
6.79draft kings$4,300
5.52cbs sports
player
RBLamicalPerine
7.08fan duel$4,800
8.48draft kings$4,200
5.98cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
S. DarnoldSam Darnold20/321840.981.100.1113.8
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
F. GoreFrank Gore11.1360.223.20.125.5
L. PerineLamical Perine8.5330.173.80.116.0
S. DarnoldSam Darnold3.1170.175.60.1113.8
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
B. PerrimanBreshad Perriman3.9480.2212.30.046.1
J. SmithJeff Smith3.4370.1211.00.074.4
D. MimsDenzel Mims2.2280.1213.00.073.5
B. BerriosBraxton Berrios2.2280.1912.70.054.1
C. HerndonChris Herndon2.9250.138.70.143.1
V. SmithVyncint Smith1.5190.0612.40.062.7
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
N. DSTNYJ DST1.810.910.751.11.31.4

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Jamison Crowder, Chris Hogan, Josh Doctson, C.J. Mosley, Frankie Luvu, Kyle Phillips, Quincy Wilson, Daeshon Hall, Sam Ficken
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 10/25/2020 15:46 GMT