The setting for Tom Brady's potential revenge against Nick Foles probably has a different setting than either quarterback had in mind. Brady chose to end his historic career with the Bucs, while Foles has never recaptured the proverbial lighting in a bottle that saw him lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl title. He was a bust in Jacksonville and is the default option on a Chicago team struggling for consistent offense. Call it "revenge" if you will, but Brady's club has the edge in this one.

Tampa Bay's offense has seemingly hit its stride, and everyone is getting involved in the act. Although the Bucs lose tight end OJ Howard to an injury, expect Cameron Brate to pick up the slack. Chicago is facing a young, athletic defense that will force Nick Foles to get rid of it quickly. And with no run game to speak of, the Bears' offense will once again be held in check.

I don't know why people would be betting the Bears here. I don't like Nick Foles against that defense. It's kind of a revenge game for Tom Brady, for that Super Bowl loss to Foles when he was with the Eagles. Brady had five touchdown passes last week and he's so comfortable in that offense.

Just like last season, the Buccaneers' defense is not one to run on. They were No. 1 against the run in 2019 and they’re No. 2 this season, allowing just 64 yards per game. But the Bears don’t know who they are, or what they do well. Every game plan is kind of on the fly with no direction. But this is a spot where I think QB Nick Foles can gash Tampa Bay's secondary, similar to how Chargers rookie Justin Herbert did last week. Home-field advantage is worth barely a point, but the Buccaneers have some WR and TE concerns. Chicago's defense battles. I took the points with the Bears.

I was on the Bears last week and was shocked at how poorly the offense played. With the Bucs bringing a defensive unit into this matchup that ranks second in DVOA to only the Colts, it's hard to see them finding a magical fix in just a few days time. That will leave this game in the hands of Chicago's quality defense, but I don't expect them to completely shut down the Bucs, even if Tampa Bay will be missing several key position players. The key to Tampa Bay's success on offense so far has been the excellent play of the O-line. Play at last week's level again and Tom Brady plus the running game should do enough to get the cover.

With so much uncertainty on who will suit up at the skill positions for the Bucs, I think we're in a great spot to take the Under here. We should already be looking to play Bears Unders with their excellent defense and awful offense to date, and even though their games are 2-2 on the Under this year, they benefited from a bunch of injuries to the Lions secondary in Week 1, which finally allowed them to move the ball in the fourth quarter. Their other Over required another fourth-quarter rally against the Falcons. This Bucs defense is several levels above those two units, so I don't see the opportunity to put up points for Chicago here unless they get some more in-game injury luck.

This number is trending downward as the Bucs' injuries start to pile up. Nick Foles and the Bears' offense could not have looked worse last week, but I think they'll be solid against a Tampa Bay defense allowing opponents to complete 71 percent of their throws. Grab the points in what should be a close game.

The Bears looked awful offensively in losing to the Colts on Sunday but at least got out of that quite healthy. The Bucs, on the other hand, had to rally from 17 down to beat the Chargers and are incredibly banged up. Expected out at a minimum for the quick turnaround are WR Chris Godwin, TE OJ Howard (done for year) and RBs Leonard Fournette and LeSean McCoy. WR Mike Evans is dealing with an ankle injury but likely will tough it out. The Chicago defense is good enough against that depleted unit to keep this game within a field goal at worst. The Bears are 11-4 ATS in their past 15 as home dogs.