There’s some good value here with the Texans, which have faced the most difficult schedule of any NFL team thus far. And while yes, Houston’s Bill O’Brien is maddening at times, there is still tons of talent on that team starting with Deshaun Watson. The Vikings defense is awful and should be exposed by Watson. While Dalvin Cook may keep the Texans honest on the ground, I’m not sure that Kirk Cousins will be able to capitalize on that. With both teams at 0-3, calling this game a “must-win” is obvious. Houston has everything on its side this week, including homefield and an ability to focus solely on football.

With both teams coming in 0-3, I expect a wide-open game. The average total for Week 4 is 49, and the average scoring in a game this year is 51. Minnesota ranks fourth in the league at 5.8 yards per play while Houston is 10th at 6.2. On defense, Houston has been average, ranking 14th in yards allowed per play (5.8), while Minnesota is 23rd (6.2).

Two 0-3 teams that are far behind preseason expectations meet here. Minnesota has lost the turnover battle in each of its first three games, as QB Kirk Cousins has thrown a total of six interceptions. Houston has been disastrous but did put forth a quality half in last week’s loss to PIttsburgh. The Texans' difficult schedule - with losses against the Chiefs, Ravens and Steelers - should give them an extra edge. Grab Houston.

These are two 0-3 teams going at it and both of them have had a rough schedule to start, But I think Minnesota is still the better team which is why the spread looks off. Anything over +3 has value.

The Texans knew coming into the season that the first few weeks would be incredibly tough with their schedule, so I don't think they'll get as discouraged from being 0-3 as the Vikings should be. Minnesota is a legit winless team with a terrible pass defense and an inconsistent offense. Houston's rush defense has been abysmal, so maybe the Vikings can chew up first downs on the ground and stay in this for 60 minutes, but if they start to slip, do you have any confidence in Kirk Cousins storming back? Throw in what's functionally a short week for the Vikings with their facility closed due to the Titans' COVID-19 scare, and Houston should have the preparation and talent edge in this one.

We're getting good value in this line because the Texans are 0-3. Look who they've played: the Ravens, Chiefs and Steelers. Lay it as Deshaun Watson exposes a terrible Minnesota defense.