It was strange to see people act this offseason as if the Packers and Aaron Rodgers are done. Green Bay went 13-3 last year (sure, it probably should've been more like 12-5), and that was in Year 1 under a first-time coach in Matt LaFleur. The Packers are going to be able to run on the Vikings with Aaron Jones, take advantage with big plays by Aaron Rodgers and overcome the limited homefield advantage to open the season with a road upset ... as long as they don't let Dalvin Cook run wild. Back the Pack.

Last year the Packers limited the Vikings to an average of 13 points. They ran the ball at will, and Aaron Rodgers hit Davante Adams with a ton of short passes. Look for the Packers to control the clock once again and get the cover.

I have some serious questions about this Vikings team, from an offensive line where the left tackle thought he was getting cut before agreeing to a contract restructure, to a receiving corps without Stefon Diggs, to a defensive line that put its best player on IR and is trying to get trade acquisition Yannick Ngakoue up to speed, to a Vikings secondary that lost three key corners and is replacing them with a lot of youth. Minnesota's cap woes mean they lost a lot this season, so while the Packers didn't do much to improve, they still return most of their solid team. Green Bay is better, and Minnesota won't have much of a home-field advantage with no fans.

Kirk Cousins had a great year in 2019 but I believe that was an aberration. He played over his head. The Packers still have Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams and Aaron Jones, and they swept Minnesota last year. I think Green Bay wins outright.

Don't expect full stadiums for the start of the NFL season, which means the Vikings won't have their usual massive homefield edge. The Packers have spent months hearing how their 13-3 record last year was a fluke and that they botched their offseason moves. Both might be true, but it's good motivation against a division rival Green Bay swept last year. Since 2003, division dogs in Week 1 are 51-32 (61.4 percent) ATS, including 4-1 last year. Grab the points.