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Expert Picks

San Francisco 20 @ Kansas City 31 | 03/06 | 10:58 AM UTC

Kansas City -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: This is obviously a very tough call, given San Fran's strong defensive front and dominant postseason form. But I keep coming back to one player: Chris Jones. He played 28 snaps in the AFC title game, and the Chiefs generated three sacks and seven QB pressures while he was on the field. Now fully recovered from his calf injury, Jones is expected to play nearly every snap Sunday. The 49ers were the best in the NFL at limiting deep throws this season, but they haven't faced an offense with this kind of speed. And San Fran plays zone coverage nearly 80 percent of the time. Patrick Mahomes dissects zone defenses. Look for Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman and/or Sammy Watkins to break a big play or two, and for Tyrann Mathieu to make key defensive plays in a Chiefs' win.

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Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+1145 16-4 IN LAST 20 KC ATS PICKS