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nfl - Sun 12/29 | 6:00 PM UTC | Arrowhead Stadium |

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
Over / Under
ML

Matchup breakdown

LAC
Kansas City
PROJ SCORE
6-9
W-L
15-2
8-7
ATS W-L
7-10
8-7
O/U
7-9
-3.9
PT DIFF
6.8
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Thu 12/26

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City | 12/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Kansas City -8.5

WIN

The Chiefs have won and covered five straight thanks to a resurgent defense, and the last four covers all came by double digits. This game means a lot to K.C., while the lifeless Chargers are just waiting to start vacation. L.A. has not covered a division game this year. Lay it.

+1090 22-10-2 IN LAST 34 NFL ATS PICKS
+1385 16-2 IN LAST 18 KC ATS PICKS
+856 13-4-2 IN LAST 19 LAC ATS PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Tue 12/24

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City | 12/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Kansas City -8.5

WIN

This line is only going to go up, so I think it's wise to hop on it early. The Chiefs offense looks like it could be rounding into form despite the relatively low point totals it has been putting up (remember the last three matchups were tough on that side of the ball). The Chiefs defense looks stellar, allowing 31 points in its last four games combined. The Chargers continue to stumble through a lost season despite a relatively easy schedule, and while they've only lost by more than seven points once this season, this is going to be their toughest road matchup of the year. Chiefs roll.

+1750 80-56-5 IN LAST 141 NFL PICKS
+473 8-3 IN LAST 11 LAC ATS PICKS
+290 4-1-1 IN LAST 6 KC ATS PICKS

Emory Hunt

The Czar of the Playbook
Thu 12/26

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City | 12/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Kansas City -8.5

WIN

The defensive turnaround by the Chiefs has been the biggest story in the second half of the season. Because of that, it makes them a serious contender to get to the Super Bowl. Unfortunately for the Chargers, they haven't been able to avoid inconsistency on offense. They can be a thorn in the Chiefs' side in this one, but if you remember, Kansas City began to get it right defensively against this Chargers team in Mexico City earlier this season.

+80 4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS
+588 22-15-1 IN LAST 38 KC ATS PICKS
+551 11-5 IN LAST 16 LAC ATS PICKS

Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess
Thu 12/26

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City | 12/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

UNDER 45

LOSS

The Chiefs still have an outside shot at a first-round bye, so they will approach this game as if it's important. That's good news for us, because as I've mentioned here before, the Under has been a profitable play in Chiefs home games under Andy Reid. It's 36-16-1 overall, and with this being a divisional matchup with forecasts calling for windy conditions, I like it even more.

+75 4-3-2 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS

Hank Goldberg

Hammer
Tue 12/24

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City | 12/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Kansas City -8

WIN

The Chargers are really awful. They rushed for 19 yards last week. Kansas City is giving up an average of 9.6 points over its last five games. And Patrick Mahomes is playing great. Lay the points.

+510 25-18-4 IN LAST 47 NFL ATS PICKS
+129 6-4 IN LAST 10 LAC ATS PICKS

L.A. Chargers

player
QBPhilipRivers
15.46fan duel$7,400
16.69draft kings$5,400
17.06cbs sportsown% 81
player
RBMelvinGordon
13.35fan duel$7,200
15.64draft kings$6,000
11.9cbs sportsown% 100
player
RBAustinEkeler
13.68fan duel$6,800
16.61draft kings$6,200
11.53cbs sportsown% 100
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
P. RiversPhilip Rivers22/352691.401.200.1417.1
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
M. GordonMelvin Gordon12.9590.544.60.1611.9
A. EkelerAustin Ekeler6.7330.164.90.1211.5
J. JacksonJustin Jackson5.3300.115.60.064.1
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
K. AllenKeenan Allen5.8740.3212.70.069.4
M. WilliamsMike Williams2.9580.2019.80.037.0
H. HenryHunter Henry4.1500.3112.20.076.8
A. EkelerAustin Ekeler4.3500.4011.70.1211.5
M. GordonMelvin Gordon2.9220.137.50.1611.9
J. JacksonJustin Jackson1.150.014.20.064.1
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
L. DSTLAC DST1.840.520.571.41.62.0

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Travis Benjamin, Roderic Teamer, Geremy Davis, Sean Culkin, Jaylen Watkins, Nasir Adderley, Sylvester Williams, Cortez Broughton
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Kansas City

player
QBPatrickMahomes
22.58fan duel$8,600
24.41draft kings$7,200
26.26cbs sportsown% 100
player
WRTyreekHill
15.66fan duel$8,200
19.85draft kings$7,700
12.61cbs sportsown% 100
player
TETravisKelce
14.29fan duel$7,500
18.92draft kings$7,000
11.04cbs sportsown% 100
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
P. MahomesPatrick Mahomes25/362952.100.520.1426.3
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. WilliamsDamien Williams10.1390.523.90.1310.2
D. ThompsonDarwin Thompson6.0240.263.90.074.7
P. MahomesPatrick Mahomes3.0160.185.30.1426.3
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
T. HillTyreek Hill5.5830.6215.10.0812.6
T. KelceTravis Kelce6.5810.4312.50.0711.0
S. WatkinsSammy Watkins4.1530.3113.00.077.2
M. HardmanMecole Hardman2.2390.3317.80.105.9
D. RobinsonDemarcus Robinson2.2280.2112.90.024.1
D. WilliamsDamien Williams2.8200.217.00.1310.2
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
K. DSTKC DST2.221.230.792.02.32.9

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Deon Yelder, Spencer Ware, Darrel Williams, Emmanuel Ogbah, Alex Okafor, Morris Claiborne, Chad Henne, Xavier Williams, Tim Ward
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 12/29/2019 16:44 GMT