The Cowboys are a public side any week but particularly on Thanksgiving. Nevertheless, I think it is justified. While the Bills have been winning this season, they have lost against three of the best four teams they've faced to this point. The 'Boys usually bounce back when Jerry Jones goes on one of his rants, and the pressure is clearly on Jason Garrett here. Ezekiel Elliott should get what he wants on the ground, opening up some lanes for Dak Prescott to air it out. While people are down about Dallas' offensive performance at New England, the defense played well. We're under the key number, so let's take it.

The Bills have won eight of their 11 games, but they haven’t exactly been beating quality teams during this run. The Cowboys could be considered a quality team, but it’s not exactly like they’ve beaten anyone great among their six wins (beat DET, NYG, PHIL, MIA, WASH, NYG). They have the same "beat the bad teams" resume, but they win less than the Bills. The Bills' defense allows only 15 ppg and I think they’ll be able to slow the Cowboys down and keep this game Under the total like eight of their games have gone so far.

The Cowboys have yet to beat a team with a winning record this season, but this matchup provides a great opportunity for them to get the job done. With both defenses capable of dominating, it'll come down to the QB play and who can be trusted most to produce some scoring drives. To me, that's Dak Prescott.

The Cowboys’ mystique on Thanksgiving is a thing of the past. In the past five seasons, Dallas has been drilled three times by 23, 19 and 22 points. A dreary offensive performance on Sunday in New England will be difficult to flush in the short week against Buffalo’s third-rated defense. A seven-point spot to a rugged defensive foe is a coveted holiday gift. The Bills have yet to lose ATS on the road, with five covers and a push.