Went back and forth on this all day, primarily because my line for the Chiefs is 5 in this game. But with both offensive tackles out for the Chargers, I think the Kansas City pass rush is eventually going to overwhelm the line, particularly late in the game. Phillip Rivers is basically immobile, while Patrick Mahomes is clearly the opposite. The Chiefs have the playmakers to put up points on any defense, and I think the injury-hampered Chargers will not be able to catch up, so I'm laying the hook.

We've officially reached a take number on the Underdog Nobody Wants for this neutral-site Monday night game. You could find worse underdogs to back than the Chargers, who have won two of their past three and have enough offense to provide some value going up against the high-powered Chiefs. This is also a massive public fade, as William Hill US reports 84 percent of the wagers are on the Chiefs. Anyone who booked an opener of -3.5 has a chance at a lucrative middle.

The Chiefs have gone Over the total in their last three games and it’s not entirely because of their clever offense. It’s because of their lousy defense, which is part of the reason they have lost four of their last six games (2-4 ATS). The only time the Chiefs' defense looked good was when they beat up on Denver three weeks ago. The Chargers have played much better than their record and I’m expecting their offense to have fun against the Chiefs. The Chargers basically play all their games on the road, so Mexico City will just be another home game.

This game will be played at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. The stadium is 1.36 miles above sea level. That means it's in pretty thin air, and that affects conditioning. That will affect the defense more than the offense, so we're going to see two offenses that are capable of explosive plays look even more explosive tonight.

It now looks like the Chargers will be down two tackles in this matchup with Russell Okung downgraded to doubtful on Sunday. On the flip side, the Chiefs will have both their starting tackles on the field for the first time in weeks. That should open up the Chiefs offense by giving Patrick Mahomes more time to throw, while it'll be tougher for the Chargers to stay close if the Chiefs pass rush can pin its ears back in the second half. This is a critical game for Kansas City after an uneven run in recent weeks has turned the AFC West into a battle heading into the stretch.

Philip Rivers is such a statue, and he'll get blitzed a lot by K.C. Andy Reid is encouraged that he might get two offensive linemen back. Patrick Mahomes is disappointed because he had to settle for field goals last week. Look for a huge performance as the Chiefs cover.

The Chargers are allowing opposing QBs to complete 71 percent of their throws. While the Chiefs' offensive line is getting healthier, it appears L.A. will be missing three starters up front. The Chargers' O-line issues were evident in Week 10 when Oakland sacked Philip Rivers five times and intercepted him three times. Andy Reid is 23-2 straight-up in his last 25 games versus division foes. Back K.C. to bounce back from its fluky loss in Tennessee.

With QB Patrick Mahomes back, Kansas City’s total points average crept back into the 50s. That’s too high for this matchup in Mexico against the league’s fifth-ranked pass defense. Los Angeles allows south of 20 points per game and has landed Under seven times in its last nine contests. Chargers QB Philip Rivers has been erratic and his receivers get little separation, so the team could hew to the ground game.