Tampa Bay coach Bruce Arians will be taking on his old team. The Buccaneers have gone Over in six straight against teams not known for playing high-scoring games. Arizona likes to play fast, as it is the third-fastest team in the league. The more Kyler Murray gets comfortable, the higher-scoring their games will become. The Over is 3-2 in the Cardinals' last five contests.

This line dropped a point after the Cardinals looked competitive against the 49ers, but I'm on the other side for a few reasons. This is a huge game for Bruce Arians against his former team, and in that spot players go all out to give their coach a positive result. Arizona's offense is keyed off a strong running game, but they're going up against the best rush defense in the league, per DVOA. That puts the game on Kyler Murray as a passer, and he's not quite there yet for me. Tampa Bay's offense got on the same page last week and should roll against a team whose three wins came against awful teams.

The Cardinals have traveled well this season, going 3-1 ATS on the road. They get to face a struggling Bucs defense that allows 31 ppg. The Cardinals' defense will also have trouble slowing the Bucs' offense. I’m looking for a very entertaining game with lots of points. Over is the play.

The Cardinals had extra time to prepare following their encouraging performance in a close loss to San Francisco. The Bucs, meanwhile, limp home 2-6 after yet another gut-wrenching loss. With Patrick Peterson available to shadow Mike Evans, I expect Jameis WInston to force things and commit at least two turnovers. Grab the points but don't be surprised by an outright upset.

There's a ton of value on the Cardinals, who will be playing on extra rest following their impressive performance in a 28-25 loss to the undefeated 49ers. In my simulations, Arizona is covering nearly 60 percent of the time. Grab the points before this line falls.