The Giants have been on a roll with Daniel Jones, while the Vikings are dealing with controversy after losing to the Bears, but that could work in Minnesota’s favor here. Adam Thielen and Stefan Diggs are frustrated about not getting the ball, and I think the Vikings will feed them against a defense that ranks 31st in passing yards allowed per attempt. The Giants beat up on the sorry Redskins last week, but this isn’t the Washington defense. Lay the points.

The Vikings are coming off a 10-point loss to the Chicago Bears. The offense should be much better as they go from facing a solid Bears defense to a well below-average defense in the New York Giants. Daniel Jones is 2-0, but has yet to face a defense as good as Minnesota. The Giants only scored 17 points against the Redskins' below-average defense, and Jones was intercepted twice. Look for Dalvin Cook to have a big game.

The Giants are just 2-7-1 against the spread in their last 10 home games, but one of the covers came last week behind Daniel Jones. He’s made two starts, and the Giants got the money in both games. He makes things happen with his arm and legs. But this bet isn’t all about Jones and the new and improved Giants offense. Part of it is the lazy conservative Vikings offense. I took the points with the Giants.

Minnesota has begged and borrowed just 22 points the past two weeks. Among the folks reportedly unhappy with QB Kirk Cousins are WRs Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen. The Giants’ offense has been resuscitated with rookie QB Daniel Jones in those weeks, yet he was fortunate to face the suspect defenses of Tampa Bay and Washington. The Vikings pose his first stiff test. Minnesota has stayed Under in five straight roadies, while the Giants have done likewise in 15 of the last 22 home dates.

Daniel Jones has been excellent so far, but facing this Vikings defense is a whole 'nother ball game. Aside from one bad quarter against the Packers, Minnesota's D has been excellent and can stop both the pass (eighth in net yards per attempt) and run (seventh in yards per rush). With the Minnesota offense sputtering a bit as well, they'll certainly look to turn this into a grind-it-out win behind their run game and defense. That bodes well for the Under hitting, as it does often with Mike Zimmer (49-33-2 with Vikings).

Giants fans are in for a rude awakening. This is a tough defense Daniel Jones will be going up against. Kirk Cousins can excel in this one because the Giants have no pass rush and a bad secondary. The Vikings also will be able to run the ball, something they couldn't do at Chicago. Lay the points.

I'm projecting 38 points for Vikings-Giants, giving us a strong play on the Under. Look for Minnesota to control this one with its running game and defense.

While I don't trust Vikings QB Kirk Cousins, I do trust the Minnesota defense against rookie QB Daniel Jones. We also will learn a lot about the Giants' run defense and how far it has come since Week 1. RB Dalvin Cook is one of the league's biggest game-breakers at the position, and Minnesota will lean more on him than Cousins in this game.