Tennessee seems to be getting a lot more love than it deserves this season, particularly when you consider its overall lack of offensive playmakers. The Titans did hang in at home against the Chargers before the bye week, but they are 1-2 on the road this season with their one win coming 9-6 to the hapless Jags. The Cowboys decimated that same team 40-7 a couple weeks later and have only allowed more than 20 points once this season (at Seattle). The defense is solid, and the offense not only only had the bye week to get right, it added a playmaker in Amari Cooper. This line is much preferred at -4, and you should buy the half point if you can, but I love that it has fallen below 6.

Both teams are coming out of their bye, yet this line saw a significant move off the lookahead number of Cowboys -4. Why? Amari Cooper shouldn't make that much of a difference from the jump, and if anyone should get an edge out of a bye, it's the team with the better coaching staff. The Titans offense has struggled greatly this year, but a week to get healthy should help the O-line get back on track. The Cowboys have a big matchup in Philadelphia after this, and I can't see them blowing out a solid Titans team. Take the points.

This might seem like a flimsy trend to hang one’s hat on, but here goes: With Jason Garrett as coach, the Over for Dallas is 7-0 in games following a bye. The Cowboys’ acquisition of WR Amari Cooper could help jump-start the sputtering attack. No doubt both teams focused on fixing the offenses during the off weeks. In this season with an epidemic of high scores, 40.5 is a low bar that can be hurdled, especially when an effective ground game like Dallas’ is involved.

Marcus Mariota has thrown three TD passes the whole year -- that's it. Dallas picking up Amari Cooper is huge. It gives the Cowboys the missing piece they needed for their offense; it means defenses can't just gang up on Ezekiel Elliott. Now they've got two good receivers and their tight ends are playing decently as well. Dallas also has been very good at home this year, winning all three games and covering two.

The Cowboys’ acquisition of WR Amari Cooper upgrades the receiving corps but marginally. Both teams had byes last week, yet Tennessee will benefit more for added time to fix an offense stuck in quicksand. The Monday night trends are eye-opening: Tennessee has won six straight ATS, while Dallas is on a 4-9 decline. For a matchup with a tiny total of 41, 6.5 is a heap of points with which to play.Take the underdog here.

The Titans have had some issues moving the ball their last three games -- all losses, but Dallas is getting way too much credit here for their accomplishments and for home field. That has been the case all season with Tennessee and it has covered four of its seven games. Dallas has underachieved most of the season and has covered just twice in seven games. I have Dallas a point better than the Titans on a neutral field and give the Cowboys two points for home field. And with public perception, add another point for Dallas. That's Dallas -4 for me so I'm taking the points with the Titans in a game I could see them winning outright.