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Sat, May 2312:30 am UTCFrost Bank Center
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L75-22
ATS47-50
O/U55-42-0
FINAL SCORE
123
-
108
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L73-27
ATS58-42
O/U48-52-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
75-22
Win /Loss
73-27
47-50
Spread
58-42
55-42-0
Over / Under
48-52-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OKC @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
OKC @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
OKC @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

44%
PUBLIC
56%
MONEY
34%
PUBLIC
66%
MONEY
Over91%
PUBLIC
Under9%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over/UnderOver 217.5 -114
WIN
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

Game 1 needed overtime to get over the total, and Game 2 was a given that the game would go over after a 31-31 first quarter. I think that the Spurs will bring the same type of intensity in Game 3 as they did in Game 2, where they played extremely well, hitting 49% of their shots from the field and making 40% from 3-point range. Turnovers were the only thing that stopped them, even though they also withstood having 21 turnovers in Game 1. They've gone over the total three straight times, and I think they make it four straight. The over is the play.

Pick Made: May 22, 8:02 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
3PT Field GoalsJared McCain Over 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -122
WIN
Unit1.0
+1791
35-16 Last 51 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. With Jalen Williams doubtful to suit up, another Thunder role player who should see more run is Jared McCain. The former Sixer recorded 26 minutes in Game 2 as an important spark plug off the bench, after Williams went down. More of a spot up threat from long range when playing alongside Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ajay Mitchell, McCain took nine threes in Game 2 out of his 14 total shots. When playing between 14 and 28 minutes this season, McCain has at least two three pointers made in 16/24 games as a member of the Thunder, including 4/5 in the playoffs.

Pick Made: May 22, 5:05 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBCason Wallace Over 12.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+1791
35-16 Last 51 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Trying to figure out the rotation for the Thunder role players is about as fun as a trip to the dentist. OKC has utilized an 11-man rotation for the first two games of this series - almost unheard of in the playoffs. Cason Wallace has quietly carved out a sizeable role, playing 23 and 25 regulation minutes in the first two games. With Jalen Williams questionable, I like Wallace to continue to see 22-26 minutes, with upside, as he’s used as the primary defender on Stephon Castle (and the other Spurs ball-handlers). Wallace has made the most of his playing time with 14 and 20 PRA the last two games, and clearing this line in five of the last seven.

Pick Made: May 22, 4:55 pm UTC on DraftKings
1st Q Total1st Quarter Over 53.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
David's Analysis:

Both the Spurs and Thunder are two of the top four teams in first-quarter scoring this season, with the Spurs second at 31.4 PPG, and the Thunder fourth at 30.5 PPG. So far in this series, Game 1 saw 54 total points and Game 2 saw 62. The last three games of the Spurs-Wolves series also flew over 53.5.

Pick Made: May 22, 2:26 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PointsChet Holmgren Under 14.5 Total Points -122
WIN
Unit1.0
+834
20-10 Last 30 NBA Player Props
David's Analysis:

Chet Holmgren is averaging just 10.5 points per game in six games vs. the Spurs this season, going over 14.5 just once. He got to 13 in Game 2, with 7 of the points coming in one spurt with Victor Wembanyama on the bench. Holmgren has not attempted more than 10 shots in any game vs. the Spurs this season and is shooting 39.6% from the field, way below his 55.7% season average. In 11 career games vs. Wemby and the Spurs, Holmgren is averaging 12.7 PPG.

Pick Made: May 22, 2:24 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
REB + ASTVictor Wembanyama Over 17.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2221
140-99 Last 239 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Victor Wembanyama averaged 29 minutes per game during the regular season. Over his last 10 playoff games, he has averaged 33 minutes. That allowed him to grab at least 15 rebounds six times during that span. He posted 27 combined rebounds and assists with Game 1 against the Thunder going to double overtime. In Game 2, he had 23 combined over 37 minutes. With the home crowd behind him and the Spurs trying to go up 2-1 in the series, I think Wembanyama plays around 35 minutes and has enough opportunities to hit this over.

Pick Made: May 22, 12:06 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBChet Holmgren Under 24.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -119
WIN
Unit1.0
+2221
140-99 Last 239 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Despite playing 41 minutes in Game 1, Chet Holmgren only finished with eight points and eight rebounds. He produced just 19 combined points, rebounds and assists in Game 2, continuing his struggles against the Spurs. In four regular season games against them, he averaged 10.5 points, 8.0 rebounds and 0.8 assists. He did not top 24 combined points, rebounds and assists in any of those four matchups. With Victor Wembanyama controlling the paint, look for Holmgren to continue to struggle.

Pick Made: May 22, 11:55 am UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PointsJulian Champagnie Over 10.5 Total Points -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1762
90-60 Last 150 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Julian Champagnie was atrocious in Game 2, going 1 of 7 from deep and finishing with eight points. However, he is still shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc this postseason. With Dylan Harper and De'Aaron Fox dealing with injuries. I like Champagnie to get plenty of scoring opportunities. He was a much better shooter at home during the regular season (46.2 percent overall compared to 41.8 percent on the road).

Pick Made: May 21, 10:03 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, May 31, 2026
Avatar
PF
Thomas Sorber
KneeOut
Saturday, May 30, 2026
Avatar
SF
Jalen Williams
HamstringOut
Avatar
PG
Ajay Mitchell
CalfOut
San Antonio Spurs
Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
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