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Thu, Mar 262:00 am UTCBall Arena
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L26-56
ATS36-45
O/U38-44-0
FINAL SCORE
135
-
142
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L54-28
ATS44-38
O/U52-30-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
26-56
Win /Loss
54-28
36-45
Spread
44-38
38-44-0
Over / Under
52-30-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DAL @ DEN
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MONEYLINE
DAL @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
DAL @ DEN
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29%
PUBLIC
71%
MONEY
5%
PUBLIC
95%
MONEY
Over86%
PUBLIC
Under14%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + REBChristian Braun Over 17.5 Total Points + Rebounds -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1279
27-13 Last 40 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Christian Braun has cleared this line in nine of his last 12 games without Aaron Gordon, who is inactive tonight. With Peyton Watson not starting, it tells me he’s still on a strict minutes limit. Look for Braun to play third fiddle for the Nuggets in what should be a fast paced matchup.

Pick Made: Mar 26, 1:42 am UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsChristian Braun Over 11.5 Total Points -130
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2099
87-55 Last 142 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

We have a total of 245.5 for Mavericks-Nuggets, and Aaron Gordon is out. While Peyton Watson returns, this is still a great spot for Christian Braun. He's cleared this prop total in six of his last eight games, the two misses coming by a half-point. He has shot over 50 percent in six straight games. Look for at least 12 points from Braun on Wednesday.

Pick Made: Mar 26, 1:38 am UTC on BetRivers
Over/UnderOver 244.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

Denver got away with a sloppy performance win last night against the Phoenix Suns. As part of the NBC double header they were in an abnormal late time slot, that I expect to impact them tonight after traveling in from Phoenix. Denver has also scored over 121 points in eight out of their last nine games. This is a healthier Mavericks team this time around, which we saw in the first two matchups against Denver result in 252 and 261 points. Take the over.

Pick Made: Mar 25, 9:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsPeyton Watson Over 9.5 Total Points -119
WIN
Unit1.0
+2259
136-95 Last 231 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Peyton Watson scored 14 points over 20 minutes against the Trail Blazers on Friday in his return from injury. The Nuggets sat him Tuesday against the Suns because they didn’t want him to play in both halves of their back-to-back set. I think Aaron Gordon will sit for rest Wednesday. He also has not played consecutive days since returning from an injury of his own. Watson could play around 25 minutes against a Mavericks team that has the fifth-worst defensive rating in the league over their last 10 games. Watson averages 14.9 points per game for the season, so I’ll bite on this discount and take the over.

Pick Made: Mar 25, 12:33 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
FootOut
Monday, Apr 13, 2026
Avatar
SF
Cooper Flagg
AnkleOut
Sunday, Apr 12, 2026
Avatar
SF
Caleb Martin
HeelOut
Avatar
PF
PJ Washington
ElbowOut
Avatar
SG
Naji Marshall
HipOut
Avatar
C
Marvin Bagley III
ShoulderOut
Avatar
PG
Brandon Williams
IllnessOut
Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026
Avatar
PG
Kyrie Irving
KneeOut
Denver Nuggets
Friday, May 01, 2026
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
CalfOut
Avatar
SF
Peyton Watson
HamstringOut
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