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Expert Picks

Perhaps the biggest buy low player prop offering tonight is Scottie Barnes of the Toronto Raptors. He has under performed drastically to his season averages going under in six out of his last seven games. This was culminated with a season low six points in Sunday’s loss to the Nets. Barnes breaks out of his scoring slump tonight against the Heat, and would not be surprised if he is the leading scorer for the entire game.

DraftKings. Kel’el Ware has been on an absolute tear of late, and I expect that to continue today. Since re-entering the starting lineup over the last three games, Ware has registered 22, 24 and 28 points. Overall, he’s cleared this line in 11/14 games this season when playing at least 24 minutes, something I expect again tonight, as the Heat are without Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic and Pelle Larsson. The Raptors are an ideal matchup, ranking in the bottom six against spot up shooters, which has been Ware’s dominant playtype, especially lately.

Scottie Barnes has cleared this prop total in three of his last four games, including a 10-rebound outing at Miami on Dec. 15. The Heat play at the NBA's fastest pace and give up the fourth-most rebounds in the league (56.7). With Jakob Poeltl sidelined, look for Barnes to step up and be very active on the glass.

Brandon Ingram has scored at least 24 points in five of his last six games. During that stretch, he averaged 18.3 shot attempts and 5.2 free-throw attempts per game. The Raptors will be without RJ Barrett (knee) and Jakob Poeltl (back) on Tuesday, so shot attempts shouldn’t be difficult to come by for Ingram. The Heat have played at the fastest pace in the league, which helped Ingram score 28 points against them just over a week ago. Ingram is in a favorable spot to hit this over in their rematch.
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