The Heat play at the NBA's fastest pace and at home, they are surrendering a whopping 59.2 rebounds per game. I like the Raptors, who are six-point dogs, to be competitive in this matchup. When Toronto plays a close game, Barnes often skies over this rebound total. Barnes has grabbed double-digit rebounds in five of his past nine games.

Jakob Poeltl is averaging four fewer minutes per game than he did last season. Still, he has averaged 10.2 points and 8.0 rebounds. The Heat have a lot of size in Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware, so the Raptors might need Poeltl to play more in this matchup. He faced the Heat three times last season and combined for at least 20 points and rebounds in each of them. The Heat have played at the fastest pace and allowed the second-most rebounds per game in the league, so this over is appealing.