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Mon, May 1211:30 pm UTCMadison Square Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L67-26
ATS47-46
O/U47-45-1
FINAL SCORE
113
-
121
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L61-39
ATS49-49
O/U53-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
67-26
Win /Loss
61-39
47-46
Spread
49-49
47-45-1
Over / Under
53-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ NY
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ NY
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ NY
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57%
PUBLIC
43%
MONEY
64%
PUBLIC
36%
MONEY
Over88%
PUBLIC
Under12%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsPayton Pritchard Over 9.5 Total Points -104
WIN
Unit1.0
+2318.5
150-104 in Last 254 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Payton Pritchard came up big for the Celtics in their game 3 victory. The reigning 6th man of the year award winner chipped in five three pointers on his way to scoring 23 points while logging a playoff high 35 minutes. Kristaps Porzingis is clearly operating at less than 100% and the Celtics have adjusted by playing Pritchard extra minutes which I suspect will be the case tonight as well.

Pick Made: May 12, 7:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsJrue Holiday Over 9.5 Total Points +102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3093
179-126 in Last 305 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

With the Celtics winning Game 3 in convincing fashion, Jrue Holiday only played 25 minutes. Still, he scored eight points. In Game 1, he scored 16 points over 39 minutes. In Game 2, he scored 10 points across 34 minutes. Holiday also scored at least 10 points in all three games that he faced the Knicks during the regular season. It might help his case that this game will be played in New York. He averaged 10.6 points and shot 42.2% from the field at home this season, compared to 11.5 points and 46.0% shooting from the field on the road. I like Holiday’s chances to reach double-digit points in this crucial Game 4 for the Celtics.

Pick Made: May 12, 6:43 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total ReboundsKarl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 Total Rebounds -135
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3093
179-126 in Last 305 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Karl-Anthony Towns had a difficult matchup in the first round against a very good rebounder in Jalen Duren. The Celtics don’t have a big man who can dominate the boards like that, especially with Kristaps Porzingis playing limited minutes. The result has been Towns grabbing at least 13 rebounds in all three games of this series. In two of the games, he recorded at least 15 rebounds. As the Knicks try to grab a 3-1 series lead, look for Towns to be busy on the glass again.

Pick Made: May 12, 6:34 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadBoston -6.5 -109
LOSS
Unit1.0
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NBA Picks
+70
4-3 in Last 7 NBA ATS Picks
+968
36-24 in Last 60 NY ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Instead of all the guff the Celtics have endured in this series, maybe it's the Knicks who should be put under the microscope. Not just because the Celtics righted themselves with a thumping road win at MSG in Game 3; the Knicks have been behind by at least 20 in every game (and 30+ in Game 3), the offense firing fired on all cylinders only in brief spurts. FG percentage is down, barely 40% the past two games, in which three-point shooting has been especially wretched (just 14 for 56; 25%). Meanwhile, Boston suffered no collapse in Game 3 as it hit 50% from beyond the arc (20 of 40) after struggling at 25% from deep the first two games. Play Celtics.

Pick Made: May 12, 3:10 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total ReboundsKarl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 Total Rebounds -127
LOSS
Unit1.0
+92
56-44 in Last 100 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 15 rebounds in this series. He has cleared this prop total in his last five matchups against Boston. Two factors are helping his cause when it comes to rebounds: Kristaps Porzingis continues to deal with a viral illness, forcing the Celtics to start 38-year-old Al Horford and play him more minutes than they'd like. And Boston's hack-a-Shaq strategy against Mitchell Robinson has forced the Knicks to play the effective backup center fewer minutes than they'd like. KAT got into foul trouble in Game 1 and still finished with 13 boards. He pulled down 15 boards in Game 3 despite Boston shooting 48.2 percent. Look for KAT to notch at least 12 rebounds in what should be a competitive Game 4.

Pick Made: May 12, 12:53 pm UTC on BetRivers
Over / UnderOver 208.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1884
77-53-1 in Last 131 NBA O/U Picks
+1104
32-19 in Last 51 NY O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We're still waiting for this series to explode, but in the meantime overs have nonetheless cashed in 2 of the 3 games (we suspect very few lost with the over in game 3). This series has yet to be as high-scoring as the regular-season meetings but Boston at least looked like it was getting back to normal in Saturday's 115-93 romp, hitting 50% from deep after laboring at 25% across the first two games at MSG, even as Jayson Tatum still mostly misfiring. Meanwhile the Knicks should have an extra gear or two from what we've seen the past two games, scoring just 93 ppg. Note playoff overs are on a 22-10 run after Sunday's action. Play Celtics-Knicks Over

Pick Made: May 12, 8:12 am UTC on DraftKings
1st Half Spread1st Half Boston -3 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+852
13-4 in Last 17 NBA Game Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Boston is better overall and, like everyone else in playoffs, they seem more at ease shooting the ball on the road. Oh, and Tatum is back. We continue to ride this - Boston has led by 9 or more at the half in 6 of their 7 meetings this season and continue to build big leads. Knicks are not nearly such fast starters and Knicks struggled with elite teams all season, failing to keep games close long enough to clutch time. Celtics were +5.5 in 1st half on road, 2nd in NBA and fourth in first-half road scoring. They have scored 61 or more on Knicks in first half in 5 of 7 games. Celtics are too balanced and collapse in 4th quarter here.

Pick Made: May 11, 12:57 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Boston Celtics
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Avatar
SF
Jaylen Brown
KneeOut
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesOut
New York Knicks
No Player Injuries
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