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Sat, May 0311:30 pm UTCBall Arena
Los Angeles
Clippers
LAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L53-36
ATS47-41
O/U43-45-1
FINAL SCORE
101
-
120
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L57-39
ATS48-48
O/U55-40-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
53-36
Win /Loss
57-39
47-41
Spread
48-48
43-45-1
Over / Under
55-40-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
LAC @ DEN
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MONEYLINE
LAC @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
LAC @ DEN
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41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
40%
PUBLIC
60%
MONEY
Over97%
PUBLIC
Under3%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PointsRussell Westbrook Over 11.5 Total Points +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+50.5
159-136 in Last 295 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Russell Westbrook has cleared this line in four of the five full games he’s played this series. Coming off the heels of game 6 where he played 35-minutes and wound up closing the game over Michael Porter Jr., I like Russ to once again crack the 30-minute barrier tonight. Even if not, this is a line he’s cleared in 26/39 games with at least 25 minutes, playing alongside both Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. Westbrook was tied for the team lead with nine drives last game - I expect the same aggression in a must-win matchup tonight.

Pick Made: May 03, 10:47 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsJames Harden Over 20.5 Total Points -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+610
44-33 in Last 77 NBA Player Props Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Veteran players have that ability to preserve their energy for an expected long series. James Harden had been held in check from a scoring stand point in games two through five, averaging just sixteen points. His shot attempts were down, but in game six he took twenty shots his most since game one. Expect Harden to be ready for another big game tonight in a must win game seven. Take his points over.

Pick Made: May 03, 6:25 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadL.A. Clippers +1.5 -106
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1775
45-24 in Last 69 NBA Picks
+1736
25-7 in Last 32 NBA ATS Picks
+63
16-14 in Last 30 LAC ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

For the first time since game one the Denver Nuggets are favored in their series against the LA Clippers. Typically, the home court edge pays off for the home team in game seven, but I’ll side with the Clippers here. Look for the Clippers to not make the same mistake as game five when they came out flat at Denver. Just like the Nuggets last playoff series when they were up 3-2 against Minnesota, they fall short in game seven. Take the Clippers.

Pick Made: May 03, 6:24 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineDenver -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+3388
234-172-2 in Last 408 NBA Picks
+735
14-5 in Last 19 NBA ML Picks
+409
7-2 in Last 9 DEN ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Clippers were 30-11 at home this season, but they were just 20-21 on the road. They have lost two of three games in Denver in this series. Nikola Jokic is the best player in the series and Jamal Murray has cranked up his scoring production. Even Russell Westbrook is healthy again and has provided a spark off the bench. I can’t trust James Harden on the road in a Game 7, so I’ll take the Nuggets to win and advance.

Pick Made: May 03, 1:40 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsRussell Westbrook Over 11.5 Total Points +102
WIN
Unit1.0
+3192
180-126 in Last 306 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Nuggets have a terrible bench. It has forced them to rely on their starters to play huge minutes. The only reserve who has been playing considerable minutes is Russell Westbrook. Outside of when he left early with an injury in Game 3, Westbrook has logged at least 23 minutes in each of the other four games that he has played in. In all four of those games, he scored at least 14 points. The Nuggets desperately need his scoring off the bench, and he has averaged 14.8 points per game at home. Look for him to remain busy in Game 7.

Pick Made: May 03, 1:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over/UnderOver 205.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1774
77-54-1 in Last 132 NBA O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's been a big switch in totals patterns in the NBA playoffs after unders dominated the first week. Now it's the overs in charge into this weekend, on a 12-4 run after the Rockets and Warriors easily cleared their number last night. Given some of the earlier higher totals in this particular series, we're a bit surprised there hasn't been more upward movement as these two have blown past the total in the past two games. James Harden's 28 points for the Clips in Game 6 signified he's back into this series, and Russell Westbrook's return to active duty has provided a big spark for the Nuggets and points off the bench. Play Clippers-Nuggets Over

Pick Made: May 03, 9:09 am UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PointsChristian Braun Over 10.5 Total Points -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+285
4-1 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

We hit on Christian Braun in Game 6, so why wouldn’t we go back to the well when he is shooting a high% and is assuredly playing 36+ minutes? Braun is again projected for around 13.5 points and the line is actually a little better than the -125 we got on Thursday night. We are still getting buy low value because he only scored 5 and 9 in games 2 and 3, but those 2 games are his only unders in his last 17 games. He put up 11+ points in 35 of 43 games (81.4%) at home.

Pick Made: May 02, 2:31 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Los Angeles Clippers
Thursday, Dec 04, 2025
Avatar
SG
Bogdan Bogdanovic
HipOut
Avatar
SG
Jordan Miller
BackQuestionable
Monday, Nov 17, 2025
Avatar
SF
Derrick Jones Jr.
KneeOut
Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025
Avatar
SG
Bradley Beal
HipOut
Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
SF
Spencer Jones
KneeQuestionable
Tuesday, Dec 02, 2025
Avatar
SF
Julian Strawther
BackOut
Sunday, Nov 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
HamstringOut
Friday, Nov 14, 2025
Avatar
SF
Christian Braun
AnkleOut
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