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Wed, Mar 1211:30 pm UTCTD Garden
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L68-14
ATS54-26
O/U47-35-0
FINAL SCORE
118
-
112
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L61-21
ATS42-40
O/U42-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
68-14
Win /Loss
61-21
54-26
Spread
42-40
47-35-0
Over / Under
42-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OKC @ BOS
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
OKC @ BOS
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OVER / UNDER
OKC @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

54%
PUBLIC
46%
MONEY
34%
PUBLIC
66%
MONEY
Over89%
PUBLIC
Under11%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + AST + REBCason Wallace Over 14.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -111
WIN
Unit1.0
+50.5
159-136 in Last 295 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings (-120). It’s hard to flesh out the Thunder role players, but the options are narrowed down with Jalen Williams out. Cason Wallace has been a reliable player for the Thunder, and has cleared this line in 15 of his last 20 games with just 22 minutes played. Against the Nuggets, Wallace replaced Williams in the starting lineup coming out of halftime, and I do think he’ll get the nod again today. Even if he doesn’t start, there’s enough usage left on the table without Williams for Wallace to clear this line.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 9:53 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineBoston -135
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3519.75
168-91-1 in Last 260 NBA Picks
+1248
45-23 in Last 68 NBA ML Picks
+1044
33-16 in Last 49 BOS ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I absolutely don't care about red-carpet stuff or the NBA walk-in regarding what the guys are wearing. But I just watched a questionable Jayson Tatum walk into TD Garden ahead of tonight's potential NBA Finals preview, and that didn't look like a guy who will sit. Unless he wears a chinchilla coat even when planning to. No Jalen Williams (the good one, not Jaylin Williams) for OKC and perhaps no Alex Caruso, either. Just feels like one of those games where the champs have to teach the up-and-comers a lesson like the Pistons did to MJ's Bulls for a while. Boston also scored a season low in points earlier this season in a loss in OKC. Yeah, the C's should be very motivated.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 9:52 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
AssistsCason Wallace Over 2.5 Total Assists -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+113
56-44 in Last 100 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Jalen Williams left with a hip injury in the first half against Denver on Monday. Cason Wallace started the second half in his place and finished with 12 points and eight assists in 29 minutes. It was the fourth straight time Wallace dished out 4-plus assists when getting 28-plus minutes. Even if Wallace doesn't start, I like him to play big minutes and record at least three assists.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 7:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
SpreadBoston -2 -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1490
147-120-2 in Last 269 NBA Picks
+640
67-55-1 in Last 123 NBA ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's time to make some statements for the Celtics, as recent wins over Denver and the Lakers suggest; the Celtics are percolating again with five straight wins. We are assuming Jayson Tatum, who has been nursing a sore knee and was rested on Monday vs. the Jazz, will be available. The Celtics should shoot better from deep than the beyond subpar 8 for 46 in the first meeting that helped get them beat 105-92 at OKC on January 5. Meanwhile, the Thunder might have had some air escape from its balloon as its seven-game win streak was halted by a 140-point Denver blitz on Monday. Jalen Williams, who recently scored 41 vs. the Spurs, is due to sit out tonight (hip). Play Celtics.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 2:41 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 34.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit0.5
+2390.75
100-43 in Last 143 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Yes of course Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can top this huge number as SGA has been marvelous and if he throws up a 50 tonight and leads a win in Boston, the MVP race is probably over. But no Jalen Williams (21.3 PPG) for OKC, so the Celtics can basically focus their entire defense on SGA. Our model has him at 28.9 points. I may not play this side just so I can simply enjoy the game but that depends on the statuses of Jayson Tatum and Kristaps Porzingis.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 12:35 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsJaylen Brown Under 24.5 Total Points -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+2398.5
149-103 in Last 252 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a big number for Jaylen Brown who averages 23.3 PPG. It is also a very difficult matchup against an OKC Thunder squad that sports the best defense in the league, in addition to possessing an elite perimeter defense. I'm speculating a bit here that Jayson Tatum who is Questionable will suit up for this game. In the event Tatum is active, we could see this line drop to 22.5. If Tatum ends up inactive, the Thunder are still capable of holding Brown in check. Either way I'm willing to roll the dice.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 5:22 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Oklahoma City Thunder
Thursday, Dec 04, 2025
Avatar
PG
Alex Caruso
QuadricepsOut
Avatar
SF
Luguentz Dort
ThighOut
Saturday, Nov 29, 2025
Avatar
C
Isaiah Hartenstein
CalfOut
Thursday, Oct 30, 2025
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
GroinOut
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PF
Thomas Sorber
KneeOut
Boston Celtics
Friday, Dec 05, 2025
Avatar
SF
Jaylen Brown
IllnessQuestionable
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesOut
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