FanDuel. Derrick Jones Jr.’s role has shifted a bit as he’s moved to the bench, but this is still a low line for him. Jones Jr. has cleared this number in 10/11 games playing between less than 27 minutes alongside both James Harden and Kawhi Leonard this season. With Norman Powell still sidelined, there are spot-up and transition opportunities to go around. And it’s a fantastic opponent for Jones, who scores 63% of his points via those playtypes - the Pels rank in the bottom four defensively against each.

Awfully generous number for Ivica Zubac. He has been really good this month at 21.4 PPG but averages 16.0 PPG on the season. Our model has him at 17.3 PPG. Zubac had 20 points early this season vs. New Orleans but L.A. was fairly short-handed back then to where Zubac got a lot of shot attempts. That likely won't be the case tonight and there's a possible blowout factor.

Ivica Zubac has scored at least 20 points in four of his last six games. Norman Powell has missed nine of the last 10 games for the Clippers and Zubac scored at least 20 points in six of those nine games. When he faced the Pelicans earlier this season, Zubac scored 20 points. The Pelicans have allowed the second-most points in the paint per game and they have the worst defensive rating in the league, so I like this over for Zubac.

This is a big number for Trey Murphy who is averaging 21.8 PPG this season, however his scoring is a bit inflated as a result of the Pelicans roster dealing with numerous injuries to key rotational players. The Pelicans are expected to have Zion and CJ McCollum in the lineup which will impact his touches. I also consider this a tough matchup against a Clippers team that plays at the 7th slowest pace, in addition to sporting the 4th best defense.

Maybe it's a blip but the Pels have played legit defense at home the last few weeks and are under 4 straight in New Orleans by the ridiculous margins of 28, 25.5, 27.5 and 32.5. Hard to ignore that. Clippers probably without sharpshooter Norman Powell again, and seem to be starting to return to their defense-first identity as well. They are under in 2 of last 3 games and 22-12 to the under after a victory. Not expecting any run and gun here and running up the score hasn't been a thing for the Clippers, who struggle to cover on road. These teams are 19th and 29th in pace over the last 10 games. That suits Clippers better and should carry the day.