The Mavericks are 19-12 at home. The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis for at least one week, so the Mavericks lack of size up front isn’t a huge detriment here. The Kings are 1-2 without Sabonis this season. The one win came at home over the Jazz. The losses were at home against the Hawks and at home against the Pistons. I think the Mavericks win this game, but I’ll go the more conservative route and take them to cover.

With Domantos Sabonis sidelined with a hamstring injury, the Sacramento Kings will need other players to step up. Two games ago Keegan Murray put in a season high twenty six points, and helped keep the Rockets at bay with key baskets in their latest victory. I also expect Dallas to increase their defensive attention to DeMar DeRozan. On February 10th against Dallas, DeRozan put in a season high forty two points. Take Murray in a secondary scoring role tonight, over on his points.

Zach LaVine has played only 10 games with the Kings. But whenever he's been on the floor without Domantas Sabonis, LaVine's scoring and rebounding has spiked. Sabonis is out Monday with a hamstring injury. Dallas gives up the seventh-most rebounds to opposing shooting guards.

The last time DeMar DeRozan faced the Mavericks, he scored 42 points and shot 15-for-22 from the field. It’s important to note that the game was played in Dallas. DeRozan is averaging 23.7 points per game on the road this season, compared to 20.1 points per game at home. The Kings need him to score even more with Domantas Sabonis out, so DeRozan should receive ample opportunities to reach this over.

No Sabonis means rebounds left on the table for others to pick up. And with Dallas missing essentially all of their bigs still, they are getting killed on the boards. The over is 17-5 since Jan 5th and a lot of this production happened with De’Aaron Fox and Sabonis playing,. Without them Monk’s 11+ chances should be even higher.

Naji Marshall has been a key rotational player for the Dallas Mavericks who are currently shorthanded. Marshall has played at least 30+ minutes in 4 of his last 7 appearances and I expect him to flirt with that number tonight against the Kings. This is a great matchup in a game that projects to be competitive and has a healthy total.