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    Fri, May 3112:30 am UTCTarget Center
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Dallas
    Mavericks
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L63-41
    ATS59-43
    O/U45-56-1
    FINAL SCORE
    124
    -
    103
    Minnesota
    Timberwolves
    MIN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L65-33
    ATS49-45
    O/U50-46-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    63-41
    Win /Loss
    65-33
    59-43
    Spread
    49-45
    45-56-1
    Over / Under
    50-46-1
    Key Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SG
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DAL @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DAL @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DAL @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    70%
    PUBLIC
    30%
    MONEY
    24%
    PUBLIC
    76%
    MONEY
    Over84%
    PUBLIC
    Under16%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadDallas +5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +378
    16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
    +190
    3-1-1 in Last 5 DAL ATS Picks
    Brad's Analysis:

    For some reason everyone thinks the Wolves are some sure bet to win this game. This is way too big a line. The Dallas offense is far more reliable. Anthony Edwards still hasn’t had a truly efficient game. KAT has shot well one out of four games. Far more evidence in favor of Dallas to close what should be another close game at the end.

    Pick Made: May 30, 11:19 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsAnthony Edwards Under 14.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -137
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Erik's Analysis:

    Edwards has beaten this number lately but before that? 11 straight games of 15 or less. He regresses tonight and might focus more on score.

    Pick Made: May 30, 10:16 pm UTC
    Money LineMinnesota -180
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +450
    31-23 in Last 54 NBA Picks
    Tim's Analysis:

    Minnesota finally broke through with a win in this series. This game feels like Game 6 of the Denver series in which the Nuggets just laid down and got blown out. Minnesota rolls at home. See you in Dallas for Game 6.

    Pick Made: May 30, 9:46 pm UTC
    Total Away PointsDallas Over 102.5 Total Pts -120
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +250
    5-0 in Last 5 NBA Team Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Despite the fact Luka and Kyrie were both dreadful from the floor (33%), the Mavs only had 20 in the first quarter, and the game was tight late…the Mavs STILL hit 100. Kyrie should get 6-7 more points from the FT line, and the Mavs should get to 103+

    Pick Made: May 30, 8:07 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -4.5 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +629
    13-6 in Last 19 NBA ATS Picks
    +969
    24-13 in Last 37 MIN ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Dereck Lively could return for Dallas, but even so the Timberwolves seem to have found their defensive mojo and are plenty capable of making this a series. They're 3-0 SU in elimination games this postseason. It's unlikely Minnesota will shoot as well as it did in Game 4. But the T-Wolves have room for improvement, anyway, if they cut down turnovers and make free throws. Look for Minnesota to benefit from an electric atmosphere as it wins and covers.

    Pick Made: May 30, 6:51 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReboundsJaden McDaniels Over 3.5 Total Rebounds -104
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +40
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    I sound like a broken record but this makes too much sense. If you are 6'9 playing 35+ minutes of basketball, you should get 4 rebounds. You just should. There should be plenty of long rebounds with the perimeter shooting of Dallas too. The Timberwolves know, and have made it clear, that rebounding needs to take more precedent to stay in this series. I expect McDaniels to make up for his rebounding the past two games.

    Pick Made: May 30, 4:21 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 210 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +282
    20-15-1 in Last 36 NBA Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    This total is a point lower than game four. The first three games of the series went over when the total was in the range of 207/207.5. Now, we see a similar total again. This game should be another defensive battle especially since it’s yet another elimination game for Minnesota. The Timberwolves also shot 52.7% from the floor and 45.8% from beyond the arc, their best shooting performance of the series. There should be some regression for them, offensively, leading to a more grind it out type of game in the second half.

    Pick Made: May 30, 4:10 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total PointsNaz Reid Over 11.5 Total Points -109
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Mike's Analysis:

    Role players usually perform better at home than on the road. During the regular season, Naz Reid shot 50.4% from the field at home, compared to 45.2% on the road. Although he only scored six points in Game 4, he had scored at least 14 points in each of the previous three games in this series. With his three-point shooting prowess and the home crowd behind him, I like this over for Reid.

    Pick Made: May 30, 4:05 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDallas +4.5 -105
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +882
    32-21 in Last 53 MIN ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The Mavericks couldn’t close out the sweep, losing Game 4 at home. They really missed Dereck Lively II (neck), who is being considered as a game-time decision for Game 5. He was present at shootaround Thursday morning, which is encouraging. Even with him out, the Timberwolves still only won by five points despite shooting 52.7% from the field and 45.8% from behind the arc. The Mavericks shot just 42.0% from the field, which was their lowest mark of the series. Expect the Mavericks to shoot better Thursday and cover this spread.

    Pick Made: May 30, 3:41 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsAnthony Edwards Under 14.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -123
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +3975
    320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    I've (mostly) unsuccessfully faded this exact combo line for AE throughout the series and outside of Game 2, Ant has made me pay, but alas here we are. This is undoubtedly the highest this Ant's RA line has ever been. While Ant has certainly proven he's capable of eclipsing this line, especially with the minutes he's playing, I do not believe his RA numbers are sustainable and I will continue to fade an inflated line.

    Pick Made: May 30, 1:07 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -4.5 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +3578
    197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
    +2461
    108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    "It's not a series yet," some pundits insist. Oh yes it is, we say, as maybe the T-wolves' doubters hadn't been watching how closely this series was being contested before Minny finally broke thru in Game 4. Remember, the T-wolves were in position to win the three games they lost, but finally got KAT (25 points) in a highly-productive state on Tuesday, which was the first time he and Anthony Edwards outscored (54-44) the Luka-Kyrie Mavs combo in this series. Further, Dallas also has to sweat out the status of key cog Dereck Lively II (strained neck), who sat out Game 4 and was missed, and note the Wolves are not going away, now 3-0 in elimination games the past two weeks. Play T-wolves

    Pick Made: May 30, 7:11 am UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -4.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Timberwolves beat Dallas in every possible category in Game 4 and they only won by five. They shot 53%, 46% from three, and took 25 shots at the free throw line as well as getting 40 rebounds and 23 assists. Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic didn't show up. Anthony Edwards did show up with 29 points on 11 of 25 shooting and Karl Anthony Towns finally shot well, 9 of 13, four of five on three-pointers, and 25 points. There's the game. Edwards was more assertive finally. The reason they lost the first three was because they didn't play well and when they played well they win. That's pretty simple. They play well this time at home. Timberwolves win.

    Pick Made: May 30, 1:46 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total AssistsAnthony Edwards Over 6.5 Total Assists -137
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +40
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    Can't overthink this. Anthony Edwards has gone over this every single game this series, and by 2-3 assists in three of those games. Edwards is clocking in 40 minutes per game this series and I don't anticipate that changing. I think some better shooting from Conley and McDaniels can help this prop too.

    Pick Made: May 29, 8:23 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -4.5 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +793
    19-10-1 in Last 30 NBA Picks
    +693
    18-10-1 in Last 29 NBA ATS Picks
    +1057
    26-14-1 in Last 41 DAL ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    Each game so far between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks has been down to the wire. That is not typical of a postseason series, and I expect game five to be the game that is not competitive. Minnesota limited PJ Washington, Luka Doncic, and Kyrie Irving all below thirty three percent shooting in game four. They’ll continue to have success on the defensive end, and look to end a 1-4 postseason stretch at home. Tail the Twolves.

    Pick Made: May 29, 7:25 pm UTC
    Money LineDallas +162
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +374
    4-2 in Last 6 MIN ML Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Mavs have proven they know how to pace themselves and hang around and win games, especially on the road in this postseason. Especially when they need them most. Young Wolves get tight at home and KAT shrinks and their foul trouble concerns me. Very naive at times. MIN 1-4 SU and ATS last 5 at home. 1-4 at home as a favorite of 3.5 or more this postseason. DAL 6-2 SU and ATS on road in playoffs, with 4 straight wins. Love what Mavs getting from bench lately, maybe Lively returns since no concussion diagnosed, and this is one Kyrie and Luka might just take over. Mavs play with a little more pace and urgency on road. Luka averaging 31-9-9 on road.

    Pick Made: May 29, 3:20 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Dallas Mavericks
    No Player Injuries
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Friday, May 31, 2024
    Avatar
    SG
    Jaylen Clark
    AchillesQuestionable