Never fun going on the opposite side of some of my colleagues but TJ McConnell has simply been playing way over his head and I do not believe his level of production is unsustainable. I would also offer hes unlikely to replicate the minutes he saw in Game 1. I expect this game to be paced down and this number feels much closer to his floor compared to ceiling. Lastly, I like Boston's transition defense to show up as well and limit some of his assist opportunities. Fewer easy buckets.

T.J. McConnell took one 3 in Game 1 and missed. He almost never, ever shoots 3s, and when he does he basically looks like a child trying to hoist it that far. His percentages are good on exceedingly low volume, but don't let that fool you. It would be highly unlikely that he hits a 3 in this game or any game for that matter. You have to bet bigger because of the line, but it's worth the small risk.

Haliburton has been aggressive is last two outings, both in Game 7 vs. New York and Game 1 vs. Boston. He knows the Pacers need him to score and Indiana has been successful in creating pace. That leads to lots of shots from deep against scrambling defenses, and he'll make at least four of them.

Horford got 12 looks from 3 in Game 1. He missed nine of them. He won't go that cold again, and Indiana is clearly willing to concede his shots with all the other stuff they're trying to guard.

Tatum played 45 min in game one….he should play 20% less…he had a monster game ….the team scored 133….there were 15% more possessions than projected tonight…and he still only had 52. Let’s lean under. Also he will sit in a blowout

Forget the analysis…do you realize Al Horford has made over 100 million dollars and is happily married to Miss Universe? Plus he’s supposed to be one of the nicest men in the league. Anyone that awesome is due for a fall. Under.

This line has caught recent steam. And I think we are due for a Derrick White game. White was a shot shy of this in Game 1 but I anticipate all of the role players to be part of a potential Boston blowout today. Other guards who average 16 points like White, find success against Pacers, averaging almost 19 points on their home court. The SL Model makes the number 17.5.

It seems like TJ McConnell plans on keeping this up. He's put up 15+ points alone in 4 of his last 9 games, and his 8-3 to this over in his past 11. The Sportsline Model has some decent value on his assists at plus money at 5.3. I think he can keep his shooting volume up and give us five assists to cushion this play.

Just like their past series against the Knicks, the Indiana Pacers squandered game one on the road. Even in the loss they have put pressure on the Celtics, especially on the defensive end of the floor. From a depth stand point Indiana has the legs to erase deficits as they did in game one multiple times down double digits. Look for the Pacers to maybe not play as fluid as they did in game one, but to do enough to cover the full nine here. Take the Pacers.

T.J. McConnell is averaging 21 minutes over the last 10 games. During that span, he’s averaging 12.2 points and 5.8 assists per game. McConnell has also had 15 points and assists, or more, in eight out of the last 11 playoffs games. He’s proven that he can be productive off the bench and should continue to see 20+ minutes per game.

Jayson Tatum is coming off a monster performance, pouring in 36 points in 46 minutes while grabbing 12 rebounds. He added four assists and three steals. But he continues to struggle from beyond the arc, as he went 2 of 8. He's now hitting 27.8 percent from deep in the playoffs, and has made 3-plus treys just once in 11 tries.

The Pacers play at a fast pace and are not a good defensive team, especially at the guard position. Their best defender is Aaron Nesmith, who will spend this series trying to slow down Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. That leaves the likes of Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard and T.J. McConnell to try and stop Jrue Holiday and Derrick White. Holiday smoked them in Game 1, posting 28 points, seven rebounds and eight assists. During the regular season, he finished with at least 26 combined points, rebounds and assists in three of five meetings with the Pacers. I think this is a relatively close game again and Holiday hits this over.

More than a few insiders are suggesting Boston might want to dial back the pace a bit in Game 2, as getting engaged in a back-and-forth shootout vs. the Pacers is asking for trouble, especially after needing that Houdini-like escape to force OT and steal Game One. Except that Boston can play go-go just as well, and Indy has problematic matchups vs. Jayson Tatum (36 points on Tuesday), Jrue Holiday (28 points in Game One) and Jaylen Brown (26 points in the opener, including the game-tying triple to send the matchup into OT) all series. This matchup simply too high-voltage to end with a lower scoreline, as now five of six meetings this season have landed 234 or higher. Play Pacers-Celtics "Over"

Al Horford played a whopping 40 minutes in Game 1 of this series against the Pacers. At 37 years old and this stage of Horford's career that is simply too many minutes for Horford. I anticipate him playing fewer minutes tonight. Despite the massive playing time Al just barely eclipsed this total and has been held under this combo line in 10/12 playoff games this season. Even if we subtract the games that Porzingis appeared in, Al has posted PRA lines of 17, 19, 14, 11, 12, 42, 22. Clearly the 44 PRA line was an outlier performance.

This series will be played in the 230s, I figure, and especially in Boston. Pacers are 5-2 to the over on road in the playoffs, and even without OT, there should be ample points here. Boston has scored 133, 155 and 129 in its 3 home games with IND. Boston is over in 3 of its last 4 at home since the start of the 2nd round. Pacers didn't shoot nearly as many 3 balls as normal in Game 1, and Boston gave up too many east driving opportunities. Pacers games get hectic. BOS, for all its defensive prowess, allowed 118 and 111 in Game 2 losses already. Five of the 6 games between these teams produced at least 234 points.

Halliburton plays 32-33 min per game. Because of the Game 1 OT he played 40. He took 14 three point attempts (well over his projections) had two heaves that luckily fell and he STILL only had 25. Let’s go under