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Sat, May 111:30 am UTCTarget Center
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L64-30
ATS44-47
O/U40-52-1
FINAL SCORE
117
-
90
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-33
ATS49-45
O/U50-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
64-30
Win /Loss
65-33
44-47
Spread
49-45
40-52-1
Over / Under
50-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ MIN
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DEN @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ MIN
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

27%
PUBLIC
73%
MONEY
26%
PUBLIC
74%
MONEY
Over91%
PUBLIC
Under9%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsJamal Murray Over 20.5 Total Points -118
WIN
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

Jamal Murray has been in the spotlight in Denver’s second round series against the Timberwolves for all the wrong reasons. Poor play overall has led to the belief that he is still hurting with his calf. He also had the incident that resulted in a $100,000 fine. Yet, with three days off in between game two look for Murray to step up in a big way. Take his over.

Pick Made: May 11, 12:55 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDenver +142
WIN
Unit0.5
+398
10-3 in Last 13 NBA ML Picks
+271
3-0 in Last 3 MIN ML Picks
Erik's Analysis:

This is simply a plus money play on Joker and the champs having enough alpha pride dog to find a way though this. Off for almost a week they should be rested, better and healthy

Pick Made: May 10, 11:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsMike Conley Under 14.5 Total Points + Rebounds -133
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

Conley is simply playing less minutes…..too few to go over this number. He is not the matchup the team wants v Murray….

Pick Made: May 10, 10:40 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDenver +145
WIN
Unit2.0
Micah's Analysis:

The Nuggets are in trouble in game 3 at Minnesota. Down 0-2, the defending champions are on the brink of losing it all. The Timberwolves have covered seven of the last eight meetings. Karl Anthony Towns has been a big bonus for the TWolves. Anthony Edwards is just spectacular. There's no way for the Nuggets to find your way out. The Nuggets need to wipe their Lakers stink off. They look like the lazy Lakers. But now this is over if they can’t get back to being themselves. They won the last time they were in Minnesota so it can be done. This is a team that I think will put the gauntlet on themselves. It's do-or-die for the Nuggets. Moneyline.

Pick Made: May 10, 5:36 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadDenver +4 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+693
18-10-1 in Last 29 NBA ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Denver heads to Minnesota for game three in a heap of trouble. They were blown out at home in game two, and now find themselves attempting the impossible. This series is likely going to go the Timberwolves way, but I look for the defending champs to put together a better effort tonight. With three days off since game two, take the points with Denver.

Pick Made: May 10, 4:20 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadMinnesota -4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 DEN ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Tim Connelly built the Nuggets as their GM before going to MIN and now he appears to have constructed the Wolves specifically to shutdown his former team. Their defensive tenacity, ridiculous length, quick hands, balanced depth and selflessness is giving the Nuggets fits. What they did to them on the road without Gobert was telling Nugs have no bench and Murray and KCP look cooked Denver is acting out like a bad AAU squad. KAT is now a defensive stud (+41 in 4 games vs DEN), the crowd in this small arena will be nuts and MIN has responded well to extra time off twice already this postseason. Nuggets slow starts will cripple them in this series.

Pick Made: May 07, 11:24 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LineMinnesota -175
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2001.25
170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
+1841
107-55 in Last 162 NBA ML Picks
+697
25-9 in Last 34 DEN ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Why wait? I'm pretty sure Rudy Gobert won't have another kid between now and Game 3 and miss another. And there's a possibility that Nuggets guard Jamal Murray is suspended after throwing two things on the court during play in Game 2. How was he not booted for that? I doubt a suspension and the Nuggets surely will play desperate, but watching Monday night's game reminded me so much of the up-and-coming MJ Bulls finishing off the aging Pistons way-back-when -- with Anthony Edwards in the MJ role in 2024. I'm not saying Denver's window is closed going forward, but it simply can't match Minnesota's defense or athleticism right now.

Pick Made: May 07, 9:13 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025
Avatar
SG
Tamar Bates
FootQuestionable
Friday, Dec 12, 2025
Avatar
SF
Julian Strawther
BackQuestionable
Sunday, Nov 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
HamstringOut
Friday, Nov 14, 2025
Avatar
SF
Christian Braun
AnkleOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025
Avatar
C
Rudy Gobert
PersonalQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Anthony Edwards
FootQuestionable
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025
Avatar
PG
Mike Conley
AchillesOut
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