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Thu, May 0912:00 am UTCMadison Square Garden
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-45
ATS52-44
O/U52-46-0
FINAL SCORE
121
-
130
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L57-38
ATS48-44
O/U45-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
55-45
Win /Loss
57-38
52-44
Spread
48-44
52-46-0
Over / Under
45-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
IND @ NY
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
IND @ NY
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OVER / UNDER
IND @ NY
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69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total ReboundsMyles Turner Under 7.5 Total Rebounds -145
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

Turner has value in this series but it’s AWAY from the hoop drawing his man away from the hoop and using his considerable skills as a three point shooter. This will lead to less rebounds. Under.

Pick Made: May 08, 10:13 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsJosh Hart Under 35.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

Hart was magnificent in game 1….but regression is upon us. The Knicks should score less, he should play less and this number is simply too high.

Pick Made: May 08, 9:43 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + AssistsIsaiah Hartenstein Under 15.5 Total Points + Assists -123
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

In game 1, Hartenstein played more minutes than expected… made a three point basket…. didn’t miss a free-throw, matched his high in assists for the last 10 games… and still barely went over. I’ll fade a repeat.

Pick Made: May 08, 9:24 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsAaron Nesmith Over 11.5 Total Points -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+40
9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

This is nothing Aaron Nesmith isn't capable of against the Knicks. The over is 7-0 vs New York, averaging 16.6 points. Nesmith comes into this game 4-1 to the over playing major minutes, with only Obi Toppin coming off the bench. We just need him to play 30+ minutes before fouling out.

Pick Made: May 08, 9:19 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsJosh Hart Under 35.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Josh Hart played a whopping 48 minutes in Game 1 and had one of the best games of his NBA career in the process. This is easily the biggest combo line I have ever witnessed for Josh Hart and while he's clearly proven to be a high leverage performer, I have to fade him at this number on principle. I don't expect Hart is fall on his face, however I do not believe this level of production is sustainable for the versatile forward. A lot has to go right including playing 45+ minutes.

Pick Made: May 08, 8:15 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsDonte DiVincenzo Over 17.5 Total Points -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+107
15-12 in Last 27 NBA Player Props Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Donte DiVincenzo has seen an increase in minutes. He’s logged 43, or more, minutes in the last two games and should continue to see 40+ minutes, especially with Mitchell Robinson out for the remainder of the season. Indiana has allowed the 6th most points to shooting guards and DiVincenzo had scored 20, or more, points in three out of the four meetings against the Pacers. This season, when playing 40+ minutes, he’s had 17, or more, points in 10 of his last 12 games.

Pick Made: May 08, 7:50 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadIndiana +5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
3-0 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
+88
2-1 in Last 3 NY ATS Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

After dropping the first game, the Indiana Pacers bounced back with a vengeance in game two against the Milwaukee Bucks in round one. The New York Knicks played three starters for over 40 minutes on Tuesday, but they need more depth and could be playing with "heavy" legs. The road team has a great chance to win outright, so let's take the points!

Pick Made: May 08, 6:22 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsAndrew Nembhard Under 11.5 Total Points -139
LOSS
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

In game one Nembhard had his moments but played a postseason low twenty nine minutes. That’s more in line with his regular season average, and I expect Rick Carlisle to continue to utilize his bench depth. That is a one sided advantage to the Pacers with how thin the Knicks are. Look for Nembhard’s postseason scoring average which is four points higher than the regular season to taper off tonight. Take his under

Pick Made: May 08, 6:02 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsPascal Siakam Over 19.5 Total Points -137
LOSS
Unit0.5
+6.5
4-3 in Last 7 NBA Player Props Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

Pascal Siakam has scored 19 points or less in five straight games after scoring 37, 36, and 28 in his prior three contests. The Pacers want to feed him the ball more because they are 10-4 when he scores 25 or more points since being traded to Indiana.

Pick Made: May 08, 4:28 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsT.J. McConnell Over 10.5 Total Points -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

It's been well documented how much Haliburton's scoring sagged int he second half of the season. He isn't the same guy, and in the last two games the Pacers biggest offensive gains were made with McConnell leading their second team. He was a perimeter monster out of nowhere to close out the Bucks and hoisted up 16 shots (in just 22 mins) in Game 1, to just 6 in 36 for Haliburton. I think the Pacers keep riding the hot hand here and I project him for 15+ tonight with the Pacers playing desperate basketball. He's averaging 15/G in his last 10 and has 38 points in his last two games.

Pick Made: May 08, 3:19 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsMyles Turner Over 17.5 Total Points -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Love Turner's role in this high-octane offense, especially with Haliburton still scuffling and not getting off nearly enough shots and with the Knicks interior defense compromised by Robinson being banged up and Hartenstein only being able to play but so many minutes (and a potential foul concern). Turner might take 8 three-point attempts tonight and many will be strong looks. He shot 50% from the floor in Game 1. He is over this easy in every non-blowout playoff game the Pacers have played (when he sits more) and I project him to get a ton of touches tonight. Averaging 20/G in postseason and 18.7/G against Knicks in regular season.

Pick Made: May 08, 3:14 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 222.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+1667
88-65 in Last 153 NBA O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We suppose it depends upon the Pacers fan to judge Tyrese Haliburton's very subpar 6-point effort in Monday's Game One, as some might blame Haliburton for the close loss, while others could suggest that Indy stull scored 117 points and had a chance to win in the last 30 seconds even as Haliburton had an off-night. We are relatively sure that the top scorer on the league's highest-scoring team (ever) will show up tonight, however, as both teams seemed to get the looks they wanted in Game One, especially Jalen Brunson with another 43 points. Mitchell Robinson's absence doesn't help NY's interior defense, either. Note the Knicks' current 16-3 "over" run. Play Pacers-Knicks "Over"

Pick Made: May 08, 6:15 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsJosh Hart Over 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals +136
LOSS
Unit1.0
Brad's Analysis:

Hart, just a 30% 3-point shooter in the regular season, has been red hot all postseason and with the way Jalen Brunson is killing everyone, the Pacers are going to sucking down into the paint and forcing kick-outs whenever possible. Hart will get up six-plus 3s in this game. He can make two.

Pick Made: May 08, 5:17 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsJalen Brunson Under 37.5 Total Points -118
WIN
Unit0.5
+743.5
34-17 in Last 51 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I mean, good for Brunson if he scores 40 again but come on? What a crazy number. Maybe a box-and-one on him Rick Carlisle? Picket fence? Oh wait, that's Hoosiers and good for someone like Brunson. One cold quarter, one tweaked ankle and this is a win. And JB "only" had 22 points through three quarters in Game 1. Don't all these minutes have to take a toll eventually?

Pick Made: May 08, 4:10 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 218.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+558
22-17 in Last 39 NBA O/U Picks
+420
11-7 in Last 18 IND O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I wondered whether or not the Knicks (30th in pace in regular season) would want to run with the Pacers (2nd) at home, and they did. I figured that stops would be at a premium and both team's scorers would score and both would score from the perimeter as they did in the regular season. I figured IND would push 120 again. And the Pacers still can't defend. Plenty of getting to the line. IND now over 5 of 7 games. Knicks scoring up in the playoffs. These two routinely play games against each other in the 230s.

Pick Made: May 07, 2:48 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Indiana Pacers
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyrese Haliburton
AchillesOut
Saturday, Apr 04, 2026
Avatar
PF
Pascal Siakam
BackOut
Avatar
PG
T.J. McConnell
HamstringOut
Avatar
PF
Obi Toppin
FootQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Aaron Nesmith
NeckOut
Avatar
PG
Andrew Nembhard
BackOut
Avatar
SG
Ben Sheppard
HipQuestionable
Friday, Apr 03, 2026
Avatar
PF
Jarace Walker
BackQuestionable
Friday, Mar 20, 2026
Avatar
C
Ivica Zubac
RibsOut
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
SG
Johnny Furphy
KneeOut
New York Knicks
Friday, Apr 03, 2026
Avatar
C
Karl-Anthony Towns
ElbowQuestionable
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